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3 [0 P* d8 e T
美国证券交易委员会(SEC)昨日批准11档比特币现货ETF，包括灰度的GBTC转比特币现
6 a! }/ M1 ?! K6 H! v货ETF申请，并于昨晚正式开始交易，首日比特币现货ETF总交易量突破46亿美元，其中GBTC交易量最高，达; r9 J$ N. Y* D
23.2亿美，占比将近一半。
8 G, R6 n( o: a8 r1 `8 @. i$ b; t5 u彭博分析师James Seyffart认为，这一交易量中，有很大一部分是在出售灰度的GBTC，并购买其他ETF，至于出 H1 v# b: h- B9 X, h% S2 P, @
售的原因，推测与长期以来的负溢价消失，用户获利了结、或是认为GBTC管理费太高想转换有关，也就是说不一. R' o$ F @& [* o/ e
定全是新资金流入。
2 J- F) n+ r8 v3 c8 EGBTC负溢价收窄至趋近于零
9 V, r4 \% Z9 t! m- R值得注意的是，随着GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批，YCharts数据显示，GBTC相对资产净值(NAV)的折价已缩
' [8 n0 ^+ i+ R6 c( o1 m* u% P) t9 g8 D; M窄趋近于零%，创下自2021年2月以来首次，至截稿前报–1.9%。9 h O- l' f% W) k+ @; b8 u* Z* O
自2021年2月以来，GBTC价格一直低于其持有的比特币价值，并在2022年12月创下历史新低，达到近50%的负
: h Z1 p- l5 y2 e7 W6 p* I4 ]溢价，不过随着去年夏季灰度赢得对SEC的诉讼，使GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批重燃希望，GBTC负溢价开始8 o+ t1 |/ Z" Z- |! A
大幅缩窄。
7 p: ^) B! |& x; zCoindesk报导，FundStrat的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell表示，GBTC趋近于NAV，是加密货币领域的一大解# T/ X% g6 O' G/ ?% E7 Z# K
脱，也是加密货币产业迈入新成熟阶段的象征，GBTC由于明显的原因，在过去几年来，给市场带来了很多不必要: h+ [$ v: w# q# C! [! ]9 W
的痛苦。
; R' I' }0 x p) l1 y5 X) k6 x此前出现折价的原因，与该基金性质有关，GBTC运作方式类似封闭式基金，这代表GBTC缺乏固有的套利机制，3 N# a8 o9 z7 ^# z8 \* J, \) N! w
无法让做市商自行申购或赎回股份，Sean Farrell指出：比特币一直存在于此信托中，但缺乏赎回机制，导致其相
+ R2 ?# s9 o5 F) h对于基础资产价值大幅折价，最重要的是，这伤害了许多个人投资者，原因是其表现低于基准，此外，还导致大, T1 f: M) v2 W) F5 ?' Q f+ H
规模信贷崩溃，原因是此产品在整个加密货币领域被用作抵押品。
& B3 V; G' k+ x7 M- U2 c未来溢价/折价将极小: M8 F4 n( l4 j5 ^. j/ m
GSR加密货币研究分析师Matt Kunke表示，GBTC在过去，流动性只有在二级市场的场外交易，但如今GBTC已转
. [8 ?! X |$ r. [换为现货ETF，授权参与者能依照资产净值申购和赎回ETF份额，进而将ETF市场价格与其资产价值挂钩：因此，+ w6 N% l6 @1 R# y0 c) Y6 H0 a) P* A7 M
未来溢价/折价可能只会有几个基点的变动。# l3 I: ]" c& b/ m5 I" C$ C
展望未来，Sean Farrell认为，鉴于以太坊现货ETF接下来可望也获得SEC批准上市，灰度以太坊信托(ETHE)申请
7 G5 t9 M% |% g$ e8 x可能过关，观察ETHE的负溢价(目前-11.48%)接下来将如何变化，将是一件有趣的事情。: @/ M# h$ G( X2 j5 n6 Q
# I1 w' o! b& w* X% I& K' H9 [ |
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