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[lastpost] => 2804717 黑天鹅原来是它：本轮比特币暴跌的真正原因（转） 1770542816 22301
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加密货币研究机构K33 Research称，一个来自比特币衍生品市场的信号表明，发生“逼空” —— 这可能引发这一全球最大数字资产大涨 —— 的风险逐渐上升。. ^2 e& U6 y, m' y: i( s5 e) E
9 S: K# B2 ]1 C! g$ X! X$ M 这项指标就是比特币永续期货（有助于衡量投机者的看涨或看跌程度）的融资利率。K33表示，在8月20日，7天平均年化融资利率为2023年3月美国一串银行
7 P' z; Y& U/ f( H- c& v8 r: s5 b
倒闭惊到投资者以来的最低水平，表明看跌押注盛行。
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" H/ K B& x" G# ]$ D& I' W K33分析师Vetle Lunde和David Zimmerman在报告中写道，过去一周永续掉期融资利率均值为负，而未平仓合约急剧增加。“这意味着投资者大举做空，从结构* D' R+ w4 k4 J+ K& N2 x3 f$ Y w
6 w5 H3 C% J4 ^" t1 e" P. j上为逼空创造了一个成熟的环境。”
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/ l) M1 V% w8 X0 g. K" m. L 在逼空情景中，价格意外上涨会迫使短线交易员结清空头头寸，从而进一步推动反弹。比特币市场情绪近来一直很低迷：这种数字资产8月下跌并难以保持
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5 `7 o! G( s/ G! l- c( P& j# n. J在60，000美元以上。与此同时，一项全球股票指数迈向纪录高位，黄金价格已经创下新高。
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K33表示，永续市场的名义未平仓合约在过去一周的增幅合29，000个比特币左右。8月20日的7天平均年化资金利率为-2.5%。Lunde和Zimmerman表示，8 N: V, d* M p, `% d
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在融资利率为负的同时未平仓合约增长得如此迅猛，是相对罕见的。* `! B' A: d9 V
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永续期货由于没有固定的到期日而受到加密货币投机者的欢迎。在更传统的芝商所比特币期货市场，交易活动也持续攀升，这可能表明美国机构投资者- O: s3 T: z/ {0 f' J" S k
P. ^: S. ~/ M# z重新参与到市场中了。+ V. C0 X9 z& @3 |. B6 A
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这个倒也是可以去了解下看看了啊。  |
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