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[lastpost] => 2804510 虚拟币市场也是回暖了，普涨来了 1770522798 小作文
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9 ~3 N, q$ J; L6 c1 T 美国贸易政策的突变正在使金融市场发生调整，这将对经济产生短期的负面影响，然而，过去一周的市场条件不太可能
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9 `2 G. ~1 e3 F& v- L6 ~
成为未来四年的常态。特朗普ZF正在实施一系列政策措施，这些政策将对 GDP 增长、通货膨胀和贸易赤字产生不同的影响。9 P1 J+ A0 H" ~3 _& w
7 Q" {+ q$ o9 L$ w/ e例如，虽然关税可能会减少经济增长并提高通货膨胀（即造成滞涨），某些类型的放松管制可能会提高增长并降低通货膨胀
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& ?: i3 w: p9 r/ [ s" `（即减少滞涨），最终的结果将取决于白宫在这些领域内实施政策议程的程度。: s( ]/ ~3 ^1 k+ V
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9 J3 [& ]9 R/ J( K2 \" K! f 尽管前景存在不确定性，最好的猜测是，美国ZF的政策将在未来 1 至 3 年内导致美元持续疲软和总体高于目标的通胀。/ U* S; Z9 B1 w$ s
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关税本身可能会减缓增长，但这种影响可能会部分被减税、放松管制和美元贬值所抵消。如果白宫还积极推行其他促进增长的/ N( C* q- X5 n4 \' X
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政策，尽管最初受到关税的冲击，GDP 增长仍可能保持相对良好。无论实际增长是否强劲，历史表明，一段时期内持续的通胀
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压力对比特币和黄金等稀缺大宗商品来说可能是有利的。2 C, S/ n7 D4 n) m
% w) H4 q5 }! w: |0 t 此外，就像 20 世纪 70 年代的黄金一样，比特币如今拥有迅速改善的市场结构 — — 这得到了美国ZF政策变化的支持。
0 N% [+ L( x/ q9 y' l0 |) M# I& K2 ^' C6 @& @
今年以来，白宫实施了一系列广泛的政策变化，这些变化应该会支持对数字资产行业的投资，包括撤销一系列诉讼，确保资产
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对传统商业银行的适用性，以及允许受监管的机构（如托管人）提供加密货币服务。这反过来又引发了一波并购活动和其他战6 Y8 M$ X$ g' f; C
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略投资。新关税对比特币等数字资产估值是一个短期的不利因素，但特朗普ZF的加密货币特定政策一直支持该行业。综合来
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) ~7 r2 M/ d- ?5 k$ p9 F' G看，宏观经济对稀缺大宗商品资产的需求上升和投资者经营环境的改善，可能是未来几年比特币广泛采用的有力组合。
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