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[lastpost] => 2760998 BTC巨鲸转身:7年恬静后25亿美金换以太币,货币市场风频瞬变? 1756486178 丁小荷
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当前离线
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如今,比特币的价格约为110,200美元,接近自4月以来首次跌破其数月上涨趋势线之前的水平。从124,000美元区域开始,卖家推低了BTC,导致其大幅下跌,突破了看涨通道。现货流入也变为负值,8月26日录得4400万美元的净流出。这表明投资者在近期上涨后变得谨慎。比特币的价格如何?8 o5 Y; \) ], N- z7 |6 M4 }, p1 w
日线图显示,BTC 已脱离上涨结构,跌破 112,000-113,000 美元的支撑位。目前价格正在测试 109,800-110,500 美元区域,该区域与之前的流动性和需求区域一致。若持续收于 110,000 美元下方,将确认进一步回调至 108,000 美元,而若反弹至 112,000 美元上方,则需恢复短期动能。: r6 T. _0 f9 O6 B( L7 G; K
Smart Money Concepts 的图表突显了近期价格在 112,500 美元以下的波动特征 (CHoCH),价格跌至 109,500 美元附近的不平衡区域。这表明,除非 124,000 美元附近的弱势高点再次受到挑战,否则卖方仍将保持控制。$ R% x$ Z( R0 s/ ~
为什么比特币价格今天下跌?0 Q8 K. W. |, R, e1 H; a- l
比特币价格今日下跌的原因在于技术面的阻力和动量信号减弱。4小时超级趋势已转为看跌,阻力位位于113,950美元附近。DMI显示看跌信号,-DI领先于+DI,ADX攀升,确认了下行趋势的强劲。6 Q( D$ R& Q1 {" z# W: X8 q
在较低的时间框架内,RSI 位于 47 左右,反映出在未能收复 50 大关后呈现中性至看跌基调。MACD 柱状图仍处于负值区域,动能仍倾向于卖方。4 小时图上的布林带显示,价格在 109,500 美元附近的下轨附近徘徊,这表明持续的抛售压力。& N5 Q! u- u' Q8 m" {! K- ^. w& @6 W
与此同时,Coinglass 现货流入/流出图表显示 8 月 26 日净流出为 -4406 万美元,这表明交易员在此调整阶段将 BTC 从交易所撤出,可能是为了持有或对冲以应对波动。
0 O: ^: k$ F" M1 { j比特币价格:动量指标指向疲软
& @; _1 A6 l9 x8 zEMA 集群(4H 线上的 20/50/100/200)目前构成上方阻力,位于 112,300 美元至 115,300 美元之间。在 BTC 能够收复这些水平之前,上行尝试可能会受到限制。布林带挤压正在进一步向下延伸,预示着下行波动将持续。
# S. p X# ^( W日内图(30分钟图)显示,RSI 背离在 109,600 美元附近形成,多头试图通过小幅反转来捍卫这一位置。然而,MACD 仍然疲软,如果成交量没有恢复,反弹可能只是昙花一现。
9 Q; V" l( e F' u$ @! yBTC价格预测:短期展望(24小时)
* P# s' L6 V9 h Z3 C% ~除非比特币价格迅速回升至112,000美元,否则8月27日比特币价格前景仍然看跌。当前支撑位在109,500美元,其次是108,000美元的需求阻力位。跌破108,000美元可能会跌至104,500美元,并最终触及100,000美元的心理关口。
" E# `1 s# ?/ G) @9 l从好的方面来看,如果BTC回升至112,300美元上方,将有望重新测试115,000美元,并可能重新进入之前的区间。交易者应密切关注109,500美元至110,000美元的区间,因为这是决定BTC能否企稳或延续回调的关键区域。& R% U# y% ^2 b4 b0 x" D
比特币价格预测表:2025 年 8 月 27 日
0 y' P. _, K0 b& s8 b4 d指标/区域
G4 T+ t6 C5 ?, i电平/信号
6 A. ~. Z2 t9 @5 g3 i; V" H4 `比特币今日价格
" u5 O1 N7 A' ?* w/ e: G3 c110,200美元3 j8 n- v% O8 M
阻力 1
* @' L0 S0 m6 p9 Y6 c3 a; ] \, o5 g112,300美元/ v8 g( L% N& Y# k: C
抵抗2% e2 ^& W( P8 v) ?& |* M
115,000美元! }: u( U7 e* g1 u, @% v0 w4 w# k
支持 1
" k U2 U8 O( r; \109,500美元
4 _& |: R) N# K. z6 s支持 28 K4 ^1 J a. `/ H- ]+ _
108,000美元! }/ v( j$ j4 Y# o
EMA 集群 (4H)3 A" w4 s! q# ]7 h, w5 V. D
看跌筹码 $112,300–$115,300( w, V0 N3 [2 F
RSI(30分钟)
, T. ~; }% [( n" r2 c3 g46.9(中性看跌)& m( \2 w5 [4 \1 _! F4 Z/ r
MACD(30分钟): L% R' \3 |- J* @8 Z/ Q' m
看跌,势头疲弱
& N L5 M7 l* J1 a: K布林带(4H)
0 n* J+ g# j. ]下限接近 109,500 美元
" O3 b, E6 N# n+ [ T9 U. s/ F! c超级趋势(4H)
8 ?, |5 z( D- W低于 113,950 美元,看跌, C. R: ^5 e6 O7 U. I
现货 Netflow(8 月 26 日) @- a& H! U6 I+ w% k
-4406万美元(资金流出,轻微谨慎)
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 19189 小时
本月在线: 111 小时
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