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[lastpost] => 2767468 比特币变“无聊”？从过山车到马拉松，它正在换一种方式火热 1758819797 天策-瑶娥
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稳定币是中美竞争的必争之地，也是人民币削弱美元霸权的必要手段，这里面蕴含着可以类比黄金的投资机会。今年以来美债危机愈演愈烈带动黄金持续上涨，但特朗普硬是给美债接了两条新腿：第一条腿是关税战，实打实每年给美国ZF带来3000亿美元左右的收入，减缓了付息压力；第二条腿就是稳定币接盘侠，目前美元最大稳定币的规模达到1400亿美元，是美债的全球第18大持有人，相当于天朝持有美债规模的19%。8 b/ D- t3 G$ X
咱们站在削弱美元霸权的角度，关税战这条新腿要打断不容易，但稳定币这个血包是有希望遏制的。所以我们看到在4月份特朗普亲自下场做大美元稳定币之后，香港很快在6月份宣布从今年8月份开始实施稳定币条例。$ _# a( {# J8 ?3 Z
发力稳定币，不仅是打美元血包那么简单，更重要的是在币圈建立起人民币稳定币、港币稳定币的影响力，因为稳定币的潜力很大。
Q6 g( r0 \. `- d' e1 _3 h( z现在的稳定币还主要局限于跨境支付和投资虚拟币，但设想一下，如果稳定币能够用来进行日常支付，那么使用范围还会更广。! a$ q) B$ v: `& M" N
再进一步，现在的稳定币是不付利息的，如果持有稳定币能够跟钱存银行一样拿利息，那么还会有更多的资金涌入到稳定币里，稳定币的规模会进一步扩大。, d" m' @7 i, N+ V# z
最重要的是，目前稳定币是全额储备要求，比如美元稳定币的发行方，必须把收到的美元全部1:1用于购买短期美债，这是为了保证用户想要把稳定币换回美元的时候随时能够兑现。但是，如果这个条件变成类似银行的准备金比例要求，比如我收到用户的100美元，我只拿50美元用来买美债，那么另外50美元就可以用来干别的事情，这就是信用扩张、货币扩张。
/ }/ K: ^6 h! C. ~6 a( b6 a& f, K所以说，稳定币未来是足以撼动传统金融系统的——它不仅可能演变成M2的重要结构，甚至在无需全额储备后，还能够引发M2总量的扩张。' i! c4 G9 I+ B8 I! |: K2 |
虽然我认为美元稳定币终将随着美元、美债危机愈演愈烈而暴雷，但在这个过程中，首先迎来的是稳定币的大发展，同时人民币稳定币也会力争建立自己的信用，大力发展。6 N+ K8 ]* B( V3 h7 L
所有深刻的认知最后都可能转变成对应的投资机会。- f/ i# q- T4 B% v3 J
我5月19日的视频就揭示了美元稳定币的本质和重要性，后面国泰君安国际拿到香港稳定币牌照后股价单日上涨206%，随后又上涨了92%。
+ n6 S8 I- b/ I* y. U美股这边，第二大美元稳定币circle今年6月份上市，到现在累计涨幅也有3.3倍。这些都是妥妥的暴利机会。
! w2 d- \. r+ U$ H站在现在，虽然比特币这些虚拟币已经炒了很长时间，不适合再入场，但稳定币的空间还有很大，它未来会掀起跨境支付革命，影响整个金融系统，进而影响全球货币霸权争夺。如果说黄金体现的是美元的衰弱，稳定币同样预示着新旧货币的交替，确定性很强。
8 E2 e. h/ k# G" h至于具体的投资机会，后面再跟大家分享。
1 P4 y8 }- l4 q7 I& `1 ^& M好，关注大林哥，带你认识财经真相。
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当前离线
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