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Bitunix 分析师:最高法院剑指关税权,白宫乐观看待
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比推消息,美国最高法院就特朗普援引《国际紧急经济权力法》(IEEPA)加征关税一案展开辩论,多位保守派大法官对政府主张提出质疑,显示司法机构或准备限制总统贸易权限。白宫与财政部仍对结果表现乐观,称相信法院会作出正确裁决,但企业界已为最坏情况备战,忧虑不确定性至少再延续数月。
分析人士指出,即使法院裁定不利,特朗普仍可动用其他法条维持关税压力,意味贸易紧张难以解除。若现行关税被推翻,美国有效关税税率将回落至 6.5%,对 GDP 的拖累缩小至 0.6%,但退税与财政赤字问题势必恶化。大西洋理事会与新美国安全中心均警告,此举不仅削弱其国际经济议程核心,亦可能改写美欧及亚太主要贸易格局。
Bitunix 分析师观点:司法风险正渗透至宏观流动性预期,美元短线震荡走强,避险资产受支撑。比特币在高波动区间盘整,短期支撑位于 100,000 美元整数关口,上方短期压力 105,000 美元。若裁决削弱行政干预能力,市场或迎来结构性重估周期,资金将重新评价政策风险与风险资产价值。
风险提示: 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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