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[lastpost] => 2800808 比特币也是开启了反弹之旅了啊 1769485140 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开
& j E- o N0 P9 o5 U% o7 d; v始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。& U, }6 l$ N' ]; h! @8 ~) o2 ?; m
然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,4009 U3 ]% @ _/ D2 [
美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。
; |7 U( w3 F4 w8 |& x5 z$ u: t以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,796
+ u3 p7 |( A% i美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。
" s+ T5 k2 `6 E" p2 }. S/ C: L4 k过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元
8 d+ o0 U# L9 c1 a受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿4 D3 ]- g" k% o% t
美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。7 \1 `* Y1 x2 F& m7 L6 C a0 G* p
另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高7 H! x$ @& y3 C @# [5 S. Q8 u
460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。
% b1 y, _1 D5 k2 [/ v联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息: |8 |# ~2 [/ B2 A6 q
美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。+ O1 Y8 e* M0 e0 B1 r) r5 j. U
多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管
% }& M, M# a$ w: U「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有+ N! M* w( ^8 Y$ H3 r( S& m. }9 l
分歧。
& b: F6 J0 m: D& y# Q' G- e7 k- p) j/ i7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引0 v5 s* r: Q2 V) h
方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。
7 h1 X+ A/ G8 g0 C7 w# T, r8 I9月升息机率为13.5%
9 s1 b" B, I- m& m! C据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而4 Z4 ]5 }* O4 L6 L; K+ h6 [
保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。/ ?( A m. f2 I% ~7 t% p. ^ u
Fed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔5 Q' ^; ]" l1 A9 `3 X. I3 e, ^6 I- T
(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。
2 F6 N) O* m0 y
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