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[lastpost] => 2806168 以太坊 2026 年转型：为什么基于证明的验证对节点至关重要（转） 1770953700 rainwang
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
" N Q- T' W) h1 Y2 d: c1 b! C5 } o, Z( T5 H7 R
监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，9 @. t/ x) }: B! g- ?
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 4 z K0 G+ r, E. x% j3 j
% c# t' _! U4 z t; ~有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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股等风险较高的投资。
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! V! _. L3 O# g8 u: I0 L芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
3 @, Y) H5 i L% B7 |* Z$ B" ^3 u1 W8 ~4 A: h
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
# p. n( h3 ]) D2 B h8 E0 T: y9 U0 L" _. W2 X+ O" S, c8 X
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
8 T1 ~! o& k3 ^$ b9 }5 N/ n0 ^
" X) b# j6 {8 A8 G因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 ) G6 `( l! x2 B- g0 @
. b' r% ], V ]! e& c) Y3 y从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此: O0 C& l; |% ~+ b9 m l- x
% u6 V! H }& h+ U a% B仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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/ J5 t& v3 g/ S W库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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推动力之一。
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$ |. {: `" a/ N2 |02% J; b( ~# o& [1 {
, f3 V, J4 i9 e8 _- B5 F9 I( D% t2 l有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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; h+ o, Q* }. t, q& U! n/ Q: s需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 . Q1 \. ~8 x" P4 h, X& q7 o4 h% B
; p) d" ^7 N m, H加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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9 ~% G1 ?( C6 c( D" W6 ^今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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