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[lastpost] => 2803057 一年后，加密市场还能交易什么？（转） 1770107675 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
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过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
( H' S$ ~, X1 v- d& v8 ~1 G! Y' J6 k链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当# l# E& ~: T' L( J
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天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
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处于健康的看涨状态。
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: K4 ]) t. A* v1 p$ e6 tAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬0 d& M% {% Y# t0 ?7 k5 |
7 A- V! A5 U) z- x短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF% M( t0 V( l# r& L
1 E { E" F$ Y! s( V2 | u获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。 U: }$ f8 N$ G# o0 `# I0 p7 x
+ L9 M$ B& A' r/ O# ^% L3 R
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
/ N+ F/ s# w |& ~" L: F6 r8 z/ T' U6 c3 o2 B6 T
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提! q7 |, M8 I9 p1 f- N
* Z% P, j, H P及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。6 y6 ]4 o2 P: V9 W; H* }9 l: Z, r
* ?! ^9 b8 z6 p5 c( s/ A- s. c
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
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低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
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5 b) R6 K/ G- v! S劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
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! K8 I. ^% Q( g% {# z7 P8 `然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF2 l0 [! {) P' [+ Q( S
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申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。- P1 [$ i5 k6 {7 I' `$ w
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虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币* \- i& t0 w2 a1 X( ~# n
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NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
( V: `4 P: R/ b8 M3 g) K% V B w- a! X# ~" G- C
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
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继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。: y! f6 P0 a7 Y2 m, K, m
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3 y# H8 c$ I! {' k6 f& B% z1 v$ G因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
8 D5 [7 ] {5 X! _" }+ k! \6 l- t# S/ N3 P( ]. s% @
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
! [! C2 d1 |5 D: p7 u7 g. `( x/ \* W1 \2 q. o+ v8 G- b$ r
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