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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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4 o2 M. m# L* H- R- ?美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明8 T& l- w# _1 |2 ~9 i
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。) M+ ~- p( s" p: B( g1 X& A# }
且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
/ `# v8 Y8 H1 ^# ?0 g官员预计：2024将降息3次
; c0 ~* F# ~! l# [# J' W9 D虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季2 w2 q4 { V/ r$ C3 I& g3 L. b# w3 j
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也
( o" o. N5 L* U& n2 Q已经开始讨论降息的时机。
. }! l1 {# u) \; N主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅8 L7 L* j- i6 P2 w
走高。6 U% C/ Z; W# n: z4 y
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓$ L' U4 q9 z i9 C& S+ e; ^. w- A
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。* j4 Q8 T: o$ _1 ?
比特币冲破4.3万
* f6 u1 f9 Q+ h1 y% R9 {受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。) n- _+ |6 @ A- e4 |+ }5 K
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。, M8 { T$ v+ f7 o7 Q5 G/ V
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。% {8 t- H& L }; R0 K+ _% ~ \+ g
美股四大指数齐扬
/ f0 h9 D$ N8 }) l% l9 W回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
$ } o7 j# S7 d" N# D9 P& R道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点
1 z9 ~/ d3 K4 ?纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
* n, ~# h9 T: m7 V6 J8 u% ], i+ T" G标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点8 Q' a1 k# P5 t% _1 b
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
* f7 p9 e! m$ [- n6 ^) D美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
( [" d: ~* V, U另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。2 e/ m: U, W" [+ y. g
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
+ I# t0 f7 P) I跌到更接近3%水平。3 F9 R D4 `4 x2 d4 a: e# r
. M/ s9 T7 D4 [! G3 G
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