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国盛证券今日发文分析称，参考黄金ETF推出对金价的推动，
1 \" T1 ]. r# J5 s* a
3 K# S" ~! U& W% R+ w比特币现货ETF值得期待。黄金ETF的推出对金价产生积极推动，$ b3 z/ \5 `4 x8 ~9 D1 ~
- G$ f h" e. [; q0 p& ^+ D* K
这对比特币现货ETF有着积极的启示。需要注意的是，世界对黄$ ]) D4 j: `! t2 r k6 s
9 Q6 ]9 ~, }7 S8 @1 Y1 _金的认可并非由现货ETF而产生，而若比特币现货ETF获批，则意% y7 C, o) ^1 C& u3 }) I) }0 w
5 Q: ^! c6 s6 ?, j+ q: V味着庞大的传统财富世界对比特币、甚至Web3.0世界的认可，将
% \( K7 s/ H$ q- W/ L9 y0 d
- _( Z: Y' j0 }' I" i6 z( @' q2 g进一步加速两者的融合。这是一个从0到1的过程，边际变化远超
9 p" L! E) J f8 ^) o9 O {
y# W: u) a4 p! B1 C5 `# X L是黄金ETF获批。 6 x* l [& m. P- ]6 t
$ x4 K1 m5 Q& d$ l5 ]当然，另一层面不同的是，比特币总数固定在2100万枚，而黄金
) {3 g+ ] L/ w1 ~/ v1 @# [# G+ }; V; h
仍然有不断的新增产出。比特币现货ETF在美获批，有望带来增量) P+ [; r! p, w/ B
i& `/ B: y' Q/ p6 \. g* `6 V6 _+ S- V
资金。Galaxy Digital测算得到的结论是：比特币在现货ETF获批的! y! ^) k) v B" |& b3 E
# c) o `: t# ?2 r* S第一年内预计上涨74%（以2023年9月30日比特币价格26920美元# E! X, v: V5 k4 h0 ?& V9 S
% c. D! B( D) O( ^
为起点）；在较长时间内，投资比特币产品的潜在资金规模为1250亿( I" F1 P% c0 Z4 i5 s9 Q4 s8 J5 I: ]
# m1 ?6 }1 l1 t; I6 P美元至4500亿美元之间。1 ~, @ t! U! ~: w: c- d
" k# V6 D( c0 {4 A- h9 d( X! t! V `7 N
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