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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。* w1 `, z. Z" _- i6 z0 o4 Y
. ^. m9 E% P P i# |过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
/ e( C1 g0 B' F7 ?5 z链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当9 g2 O7 v! M5 q3 H4 h
8 }$ i9 J4 O5 p9 I V天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
9 i7 Y' c8 g1 J1 K4 b( s' m) P( D& I/ Q, l% J$ y
处于健康的看涨状态。
" }5 X% n! _9 ]. F' y" `& s% S2 E' J/ j" \; ^3 F) z/ v% D3 m% b
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
0 y4 V7 ?9 [, c. x3 @: [4 @3 O; z6 u+ P( a/ f5 A
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF; s$ p, y/ ~" m( `8 b& P
3 [( v E5 `" x* q
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
# d/ B" ?+ J! R& Y) f! m
# C, V/ q6 w" e+ e: v0 gAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，. h! E% J6 R" q6 C6 k; c% _
( N1 a# U! I, k; _2 fCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
& ?/ X: _: ?. [" R- i; B
4 t$ Q; y6 W: p& A及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。+ t$ `! ~9 M, |/ q; X1 z5 z1 m5 ]
7 G, g. Y* u* ` q
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较9 a) ]* y$ U1 y+ e. t$ E6 N3 p
0 t" O3 P4 x* h$ S1 n
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
?* k; ?" a/ I! D2 C9 l7 s0 ]9 F) K, g
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。7 k( Q- V1 q/ Z2 O( L" C! n
* p; E8 r0 o( h% D0 I/ h
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
$ G$ W7 B; F3 o1 P" V* C* f
& Z" t8 F# {6 j6 i申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
# D+ g6 ~4 V$ n0 b5 `# g. o5 P, q0 i9 h# U
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币2 T: ?9 B; t( Q
- X0 G6 e% ^: j7 J6 qNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不" _0 s# q1 ~( b) o5 P
+ [$ B0 f: P+ p, I" p m; D; k绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
( R% K7 A9 H% R+ I/ A. [
/ ]1 o' [4 j) E( J+ T+ \ H继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
1 \1 |! q* ~9 G2 x/ e
' c( Y/ J1 M( B! e# X2 l* P! l1 P' g. o: E
因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的4 k* B+ @% ~. O- W$ ~( w" L
+ O+ ~- q# o1 X! t5 B6 C, M7 s- ]关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。* W; q; o, j+ H5 _ \6 [1 W
8 I6 {. E7 v) G% A! |* v
; d1 O6 Q7 l, m) p+ d1 U |
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