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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元! 若贺锦丽胜选,BTC恐回测四万支撑位(转)
[复制链接]
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$ x% U1 v7 H0 H* j5 \% {$ C: j$ ]9 o/ Z
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1 p5 p+ t/ l4 z+ x伯恩斯坦分析师表示,尽管比特币长期看涨,但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势,若川普胜选,比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元;若贺锦丽获胜,比特币可能将下跌,并测试40,000 美元支撑位。7 }, n% T4 p- [# j; D
& V7 m4 r) k9 @, s Z4 G备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时,华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)分析师近期也再度重申表示,从长期来看,无论大选结果如何,在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下,比特币都将向好发展。# E) T1 `, |3 r& O+ B9 c
0 ?7 k( ^+ ?: g [% j( W. z贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元& N% I- ~ `# Q% l1 \1 D1 {+ K! y) Y
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不过,伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看,如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜,短期内市场可能将受到打击,比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位:+ Z* u' K/ }0 p+ I7 V$ G
( O, Z& y$ |' @! l; I如果贺锦丽获胜,在短期内,我们预计比特币将下跌,并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。+ C: N& ^ c5 ]$ L5 i7 J6 ~# Q
但如果是美国前总统川普胜选,将更有助于比特币上涨,BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元:! t0 d9 d$ n% o
% e" Z) D9 ?1 R$ h6 v- S1 L* U川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响,在川普获胜的情况下,我们预计比特币将再创历史新高,达到80,000 或90,000 美元。
& ?7 F1 }8 J$ T山寨币在选举前将保持震荡
. g! T* C; n6 J% R. J9 Q2 D6 u. a
& |' u& V* ~4 x同时,伯恩斯坦分析师还预计,包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币,在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡,因为除了选举结果外,山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。
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比特币下杀6 万大关; n3 S. g# C7 J8 x \
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而在加密货币市场方面,尽管稍早美股收涨,但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑,今(10)晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。, M6 l) a2 R& T
% v! s+ R. C4 E( G: e撰稿当下报60,685 美元,近24 小时下跌2.73%,能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。4 C9 v/ o# U7 z" \3 D, V0 F1 T4 r2 I
1 |0 e' i: k1 i0 x6 o5 M
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5 J( y1 {' r1 b% i; L% c
7 o6 k, n$ v- x' C/ F川普胜率达到53.2%( y$ h9 \% m5 h) p. j a. L) j
# b1 F, ]% k' H" K, F9 U1 x
据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示,市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离,为53.2%,贺锦丽只有46.2%。但民调结果本来就常有波动,请谨慎判断。6 A9 H0 ]% O f- z; z$ c. q, ~% l
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