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[虚拟币交流]
小摩：替代加密货币ETF一旦获批将吸金140亿美元，Solana与XRP成焦点（转）
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智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通分析师估计，如果获得美国证券交易委员会的批准，一批持有替代加密货币的交易所交易基金(ETF)可能会吸引高达140亿美元的资金流入。这家总部位于纽约的银行的分析师预测，拟议中的Solana ETF将在6到12个月内吸引30亿至60亿美元的资金，而XRP基金将在同一时间段内吸引40亿至80亿美元的资金。 为了得出这一预测，摩根大通研究了现有现货加密货币ETF的所谓采用率。在分析时，比特币基金持有约1080亿美元的资产，约占该代币市值的6%。这些基金恰好在一年前进入市场。以太币ETF自六个月前推出以来已筹集了120亿美元，渗透率为该代币市值的3%。 尽管摩根大通预计，全球最大的数字资产比特币将继续成为投资者青睐的加密货币，但分析师表示，Solana和XRP也可能引起极大兴趣，尽管人们对其兴趣程度存在疑问。 摩根大通分析师肯尼斯·沃辛顿(Kenneth Worthington)在一份报告中写道：“这里的关键问题仍然是投资者对额外产品的需求的不确定性，以及新的加密ETP的推出是否重要。” 值得一提的是，去年，美国证券交易委员会收到了几份基金申请，这些基金追踪各种类型的加密货币，例如第三大数字代币XRP、全球第六大代币Solana和规模小得多的代币莱特币。大量申请表明，整个行业都在努力向大众开放这一资产类别。 如今，加密货币已成为唐纳德·特朗普11月大选胜利的关键主题之一。这位候任总统曾是比特币怀疑论者，后来成为比特币的倡导者，他承诺扭转乔·拜登总统领导下的监管打击，从而激励了数字资产界。 到目前为止，他的行动符合该行业的利益，尤其是任命行业支持者保罗·阿特金斯取代加密货币对手加里·根斯勒担任美国证券交易委员会主席，并设立一个专门负责人工智能和加密货币的新职位。 摩根大通承认，由于ZF变动，比特币和以太币以外的ETF的进展可能会很慢，尤其是考虑到监管不明确。不过，分析师“预计其他ETP申请将在2025年提交，并可能获得批准。”
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