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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
: u) e# q# q- v) o% }. ^' B! V比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
" d& z' L% f$ \8 z- W* D比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。/ s' g# g' Q1 m z
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
* j. w1 @7 @2 c8 h w鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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& {6 T% w6 B5 ]: I; L! `但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。( K C4 Y7 g3 X/ ^0 w" [+ [
: _" H* h* a6 K; k. m' r: @最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。* D; t0 z" U0 v. X! z0 X( H+ D
0 d. M4 X/ m9 {' ~8 ^5 l- d7 M这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 - Z, c7 w; B8 K M0 I7 p* Z. D
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。( v: ?& I" [5 G
+ V, g& B- y! y估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突' h( Q( J3 Z2 b4 _* u) c- }3 D3 M' m
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。 M; M; K) i. a
3 l. B, D7 B% B) c) J6 e) x同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 ( L0 G$ r, ~) r" |3 g
' q4 D! }, d) L. _8 [相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。& \2 P: {' ?1 C9 e; {# j9 V
9 u% B# B+ U& }( {4 t4 p此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
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4 G2 e' \3 m& c, X# n( x如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。/ g/ g$ U8 h- q! F0 R
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结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
% E5 b3 I" k5 l! p4 ^9 s" v1 i比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 ! M/ U6 q: ~. Q& }
" h6 V5 [$ E5 k' ~" Y1 `5 I/ J* w但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 & K9 V$ k9 t; \- W/ @/ i" t
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