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[lastpost] => 2804591 安永：钱包将成下一代金融核心入口，掌控钱包即掌控客户关系 1770473827 比推快讯
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市场积极寻找本次暴跌原因，Wintermute 策略师认为本次加密寒冬会更快解冻
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比推消息，比特币遭遇了三年多以来最惨烈的单周跌幅。但对一些加密领域的死忠，乃至最大最知名的多头而言，最糟糕的是他们并不清楚暴跌的确切原因。
加密商业银行和交易公司 Galaxy Digital 的负责人 Michael Novogratz 表示，关于此轮抛售的市场理论众说纷纭，从投资者转向预测市场及其他高风险赌注，到一轮火爆牛市后的广泛获利了结，没有确凿的导火索。
以下是当前市场主流的几种分析：
· 新风口涌现：预测市场、黄金、白银、人工智能和所谓的 Meme 股票最近都在争夺交易员的注意力，转移了对加密货币的关注。过去，比特币曾是存在不对称性的共识性选择，现在有了人工智能、预测市场……许多其他可供人们去投机的领域。
· 供应存在增加可能：华尔街试图通过推出比特币 ETF、代币化产品和衍生品来利用加密货币的流行。它们的激增可能不会影响比特币、以太坊等代币的绝对数量，但一些投资者认为，它们的出现削弱了比特币作为稀缺资产的吸引力。一些分析师表示，通过推出 ETF 和复杂衍生品，华尔街让投资者可以在无需购买或持有实际代币的情况下押注比特币价格。
· 新的监管预期：部分投资者猜测，特朗普提名的下一任美联储主席人选凯文·沃什可能导致了加密价格下跌。Warsh 被认为在利用利率抑制通胀方面更为鹰派，并且更支持强势美元。更高的利率和更强的美元通常会损害黄金和加密货币等另类资产，降低其对投资者的吸引力。
· 《CLARITY 法案》受阻：正在商讨中的《CLARITY 法案》法案旨在为蓬勃发展的行业建立一个清晰的监管框架。但交易平台与传统银行之间的争执使这一势头停滞。没有这项措施，许多金融公司对将数字资产整合到其业务中犹豫不决。除非达成妥协，否则这场纷争可能会剥夺加密货币市场本可延续涨势的催化剂。
· 单纯的获利了结：Novogratz 和其他一些投资者认为，抛售很大程度上是由急于锁定利润的投资者推动的。这些利润是在 2024 年特朗普当选并承诺使美国成为世界加密货币之都的 FOMO 氛围中，伴随比特币、以太坊和其他数字代币上涨而积累的。
一些分析师认为，这个加密寒冬可能比过去的更快解冻。没有关键公司倒闭或面临指控，而这些在过去的崩盘中曾引发信心危机。对信徒而言，周五的反弹让他们相信加密货币总能反弹，这也是他们坚持投资的部分原因。基础设施更强大，稳定币采用率持续增长，机构兴趣并未消失，只是暂时观望，加密交易公司 Wintermute 的策略师 Jasper De Maere 表示，对这些投资的兴趣可以很快回来。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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