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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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. W1 b( w( S7 e
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。/ ?! v, Y9 A8 O- m% d/ x% _/ J
! R- O3 x% |3 Y/ W, C这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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为什么？
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$ u/ j# @: m! j+ d7 f$ k1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。 M, ^, J! D% }1 b5 Z
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
/ `. m) ?# p3 p1 D* Z: f; }9 G6 C0 s2 r" ^ 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
/ a \: u4 f+ Q7 M" G 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4- K; G1 w4 i6 @; e9 s) M
第一把输，你没有了。. a+ h! N- d' f
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。$ S$ k4 e) s( R/ X, G. z8 d0 D
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。 D4 W& L" |" q- x6 H* | e
…………无限下去。& u6 h9 I; P9 }5 r. d% P
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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! r- g7 J4 w/ m7 L是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。3 _) d, g# v4 k7 o; m* U
1 T/ L4 }2 t, M1 y; W- L; U为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
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; d- v" d$ S m* w: g1、我觉得可以打偏差。: c4 z! x) D% s6 d
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。3 W9 @; h' s! j: j
+ E7 s8 y0 _, c. h! {
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。* v2 |) r3 o8 i1 [* ^# Q
9 q9 q) f$ V4 H6 R) r人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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