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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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, t6 e" E* Y9 N
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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9 v. Q3 x" J! t) E8 _这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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2 u1 L( N- n( n' s) w为什么？
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1 C4 ]7 L, y9 ~' M1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
0 k( ]# x" Q" z/ C, z- G0 b4 C2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。3 ^( O. n- Z- `1 T7 U6 e
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
4 ~! c4 @( }$ ~+ o9 ~( G 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4& n) H. T1 U! w
第一把输，你没有了。
0 Q2 F) k4 M, I2 a3 \1 u4 S0 z 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
q2 u( V: z) H 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
# V- \# e3 P+ L6 D …………无限下去。, ]* @5 k' t/ H8 D
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……+ K6 W" t1 P8 Z
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。9 i' e+ r- S9 ]
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这就是总是输的原因。。
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: U- j. Z" W# |7 P; y M为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？6 \0 O" }* F5 q5 x- O5 ]7 ?4 T' j; z
: @" x% A; `( b/ c- @8 [1、我觉得可以打偏差。* X* V) L6 G6 K+ ?
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。8 B) D5 x$ t- u d; v) c
( R- f# ?. G. C2 q, s人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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