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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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( o3 S' ?# D8 W Z
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
+ Z1 |* @0 x: I4 W4 ]7 _" H
/ C f- K. O* D& `; ]2 T w0 M! f这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。: v4 h# T5 L' F- U% n2 n, d
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为什么？3 b Q/ X: ?9 T
* h( Y" L5 w6 L% o- B8 l1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。 z/ i/ _% R J# l' d
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。1 S# U. J, y1 P4 J/ A
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。3 R' o0 w. y, W; D
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4# j! Q2 O4 P- \
第一把输，你没有了。# R& I5 z7 e( z* [; }1 h, Z
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。1 b0 k; {3 l% h" [1 K6 Q6 a% j
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
5 }1 x6 Q0 s' G% y2 w) A: y …………无限下去。, v* ?- q. K" e0 z/ W
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
, ~7 V* z% C4 }$ {: K' C3 M/ c2 A5 V M, c9 |1 B" y
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。1 o h% i- }3 E, b4 ]6 _7 ~% W7 S2 s
8 t( t2 X% j) t0 [4 f. q
这就是总是输的原因。。
8 w. t, f5 k( B I" p- c( @- O6 ` k- `6 O. \3 u _
为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？" B' a9 }, R" G8 `2 g
0 S/ O( L1 l- i/ o1 X1、我觉得可以打偏差。
# y# c; m/ a4 e5 L8 z" ?( s2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。0 z9 Y) {* a. B: e4 P
+ n0 n) O, L9 T
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。$ W! J2 n) I% |
" J6 l9 ~3 j% l3 M9 K2 K% ^人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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