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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
! e8 C- [* r9 l+ W3 Y0 p行情补充、
3 L9 b" G# \+ O% j在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 % C8 k# `- u- T4 i# ?) f+ t
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 2 p6 w! o; U% q: }$ R9 c$ ?
关于疑问、一一回复。 6 T+ e1 o0 M8 [4 n8 O& ^% F
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
) g5 l/ p% L* u7 y$ d
. f$ w0 V! @0 X
首先就个人的主观来说、 : N: y+ w8 X& |% K6 c. z
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 8 F. S2 M+ \3 Y- v5 @) ~
极度憧憬市场的未来！ 1 R& s; R) O, Q( R7 X* `, D
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
2 x7 C0 Q6 \! T6 b) g: B最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
, l2 Y9 `: z1 N' I而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
' O: q* U' Y7 S& M会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 ! K2 [! s. W/ A3 u7 n4 A
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
9 T0 ?5 B+ _. c, ^; U" _其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 3 A, r* L% g# H, ^6 [
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 9 I$ c1 S; K# m2 W1 l: P1 N
为什么会跌、 4 f7 P( z/ v: I' k9 c
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
# A3 E$ H" N: t. M$ R2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 ! w5 B' K: }% i1 x. P, C a- g0 Q: H
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
; M# [6 v4 P- b综上造成的下跌、 ; U: E4 o9 E: D7 o$ [/ S1 t
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
0 w" H& c, H4 N* A, e6 \也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 # i. n; \8 a7 K- g( j; O
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
# Q" y/ y7 y' \" w+ A/ ]6 U4 @来决定行情是否好转。
+ Y# I Q- N- g V6 r. p至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 2 E$ l8 S, e* ~: x8 G0 C7 p
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
g. H/ X$ |- x8 E! o- q" e短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
% ?5 u4 P$ R% m- p- p周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
+ l& o1 {) |3 K2 h; n那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 & C3 N$ x K5 G# g3 f# x3 W8 X* V' d
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
& ^# `( U4 R F- `! W; q7 w, V日内大饼反弹、 0 \$ ^# h3 v {' o; a
26150高空
. R5 ^$ n( n: P26350补仓
- ^* j/ ? S8 S& u4 i) c26550防守 0 B/ \0 k- _) R! \
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 ' }% j, ] U) l& e. ]- u4 c& f
以太反弹 , U k9 [# w. Z6 R* e
1380高空 , m; g6 V: j& [. w
1400补仓 1 I( N( x( F$ L1 _
1420防守 ; o x1 `& P, K0 i* Z
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
; Y! K9 U2 F1 `6 X3 m3 A" K附言、
" i1 f# Z5 J5 b! Y2 m; n0 r许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 6 ~$ f3 G6 [1 c1 ?9 X) V# q
是正常现象， a0 U7 F( r5 q) B
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
5 r7 _' o5 I, h, G$ }7 g+ V( r对于市场、依旧未来可期。
7 G, e3 x7 G! x7 [! X5 r9 \5 [大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
. p+ M, \( p" u* @% @' O上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 / Z! N1 K: n$ V% a& A1 i+ t
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 . N" q- ^( ?& K9 `" s" F/ k1 Q
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 ; U5 K' D9 ~ M- m
相信七月公布时，会较理想。 % r3 e8 Z9 `% h L/ N
但现阶段，要承受的住。 4 e2 n# R2 O) J# w! D3 w( f, L- P
最后再强调、现货勿割。
9 u, B `( x: C3 C" B* W+ {0 A, k25000的大饼 1300的以太、 8 c7 h% e: g. A& ~! ]9 M
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 : t) y8 j4 m0 g7 q& s
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
: i5 K* l o3 h8 R1 l& X这个市场，
0 D; R; }# s' |- i& t消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 # @9 P! q* e( q+ e
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 / ~# F! b$ L) k
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
) ~$ a- a6 K0 x$ y5 Z) G1 V3 b& A, y1 }但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 & |8 ~! K: m' s: \
来源：金色财经 |
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