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' g4 H) _8 S- |: B比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，0 X* p& r& p: ~7 g0 y
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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* T5 S, m- Y, ~0 e, N" c股等风险较高的投资。
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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' p: [; X# v# u6 m; U7 D明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
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1 \' F v. a9 s$ G) v" A0 T0 ?& O- A+ C现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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' x4 ]* s* s- l! C( x. B因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此 x$ r N2 p6 [% K
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。 : j$ q( s+ \2 H* V- P
1 A+ c) S% Y" ]+ R8 d# f9 v- i& V库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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8 ~2 U& T7 D' U2 c% B+ w推动力之一。 1 F. ]) A, s ~" }5 \" b
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02
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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! N1 k' G0 l* \7 m2 i- `6 I加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣0 ]7 I, I* D( {% k% ^
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至/ T) h6 h4 b$ j' Q" S! c3 [
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 0 n: d- q, e: `) W( ]
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