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! M7 y, A% z0 A _0 E1 C比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 N& ~$ K. S/ D; m
2 a! o4 N8 g0 ~& g% o9 C/ c9 R- h; L监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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9 D% b5 M. y$ k* @" c0 u2 U专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 ) F8 ]4 i0 Z1 \! M R! m
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技; w. C a3 q+ I7 s! I; ?; _, W' S$ A
+ G& H3 N t7 b# }股等风险较高的投资。 - ~! k: M7 t U4 g7 D4 t
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储) X/ W6 A$ T; y$ z6 S3 I
+ h. a: o; c W8 ^/ d' b+ d; Z+ O
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 $ Z0 A- b( Y4 C/ ~
7 _8 q0 T& j7 f% X5 |) p& x现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
% K! y- S+ I; q& Y( Q: o' N$ E0 W2 R# |& r2 S% @2 A
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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. Z9 ~/ G# u+ x从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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- c7 x# ^/ \6 d, K; I* H仍有许多交易商可能买入。 - U: J: V T" j$ u: L( b, d4 M' a/ {
' n2 i5 y2 x1 h0 j5 Q
库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
j+ a4 J- O9 O& F y. O/ ?9 F* i
/ ^# p. U9 R: @3 v; a9 p* t2 Z推动力之一。 : B& Y' |4 `7 T$ U5 V
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02; p5 A# H/ h7 |
8 \. Z( F5 a2 d6 @2 c有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 6 v. m3 A. m+ t$ b+ c
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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- r8 p/ q6 [1 t加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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9 A* ~( s5 Z, ]+ X5 |的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
+ @" Y$ T3 A( d+ s5 D$ `5 h1 w/ `
, q7 T, R, |3 |6 }8 K今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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