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[lastpost] => 2798959 以太坊的关键指标转向“主导地位”——ETH 即将迎来一波上涨行情吗？（转） 1768951292 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？
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4 L. O$ m6 w9 i V( H, w% @2 n比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。" B* I" B4 w- w! o
" w1 k. r8 q6 ^随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。9 Q) i9 D% h* J V$ Q" g: z
- ?2 z k# l+ H1 w, y/ t A比特币价格分析
+ ^: r" ?3 w$ ]( @+ C$ A3 P5 R尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；/ N5 d3 o" X2 {. {
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崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。4 E! s& a- `0 A% i! K
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然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。
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, J9 _6 e" r+ {& t& e) Q$ \" P目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。
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, a7 f8 {' v: N' |' e预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。# _0 r# ~" r- O# g
$ r" J2 M. H7 _% v% n富达在12月30日引领外流
6 e$ w- O) a5 H5 a# E随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。: A r' r+ N2 s3 N8 k- c8 V* v! |
! b8 e/ |! [/ q; n9 k比特币交易所交易基金% V, L( A$ c" @; m9 J0 o
富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。0 w d) N3 {# [( i: w8 ~
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BTC价格目标) L) Q& d' \0 C# y; z6 u4 X
随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。
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8 `" e2 g4 [4 O在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。6 V0 @0 M; Y* z" I) N2 K! p1 g
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另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。6 d! i$ l0 `' R8 p6 l
# n, m$ h$ W4 z0 s2 a( k5 `在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。1 o$ D" f9 E; X/ @/ x1 R( M+ p
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分析师点燃2025年的希望
/ j! ^; S% f, f1 Y) _% E! k尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。
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3 y+ G2 n# F( X D3 G. f. LMartinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。
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5 }7 ]! u6 [# L- z2 t1 S在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。
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Alis对比特币RSI的评论! @, k4 H& e. {: U& k2 \
结论
$ J P8 |- h& M( U比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。, Z7 C% }5 f! a5 V' g: K" {2 e
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然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。. x# c9 C5 m3 C" C& @& \
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