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[lastpost] => 2798999 特拉华州人寿与贝莱德合作,通过固定指数年金提供比特币投资机会。(转) 1768977490 赚钱小样
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当前离线
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势) I6 c( P& W) _2 Q* K1 \6 o
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过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。2 T W5 J* g S! S2 l' H W
, _/ z! f: Q" G# j. SPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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# e M% s! d' ACPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。& V% y# O& V2 D- P0 k7 q
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期. D- K( j- d l: Q8 o
5 e+ v: B. Z0 ^) J+ F当前持仓成本:
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机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;3 |+ ~6 ~ N0 t4 n( _( x, k
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;
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7 _; M. V: d* A2 Q5 fETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
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* G/ X4 S; R/ p8 m0 f3 r4 T比特币价值回归:) h# j0 C8 k4 S. {0 d
7 f6 u! y H2 A. T! b l! l# S市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
9 I! S7 d# g4 z( K3 F0 D- q8 C" A7 ]* y7 c0 u
随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。& d. t1 R9 R4 U1 k# g. I6 Z
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加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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" B8 k0 f% [% y6 g$ S- p& {4 g, i3 ^3. 市场热点与反弹情况6 K0 W3 e% O7 o+ p' o
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ETH:
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。; S* K. ]6 J2 q1 X. M! ]
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。
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, e8 t( H2 x0 w. C9 \4 NBTC:" {7 [ v- A6 p6 f" K) j6 B
1 s) W4 t0 s" g尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
4 r) G- s' b' e1 E4 ?3 T+ U8 p1 J" D: X3 T) v# j( r$ p
如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。4 F; {/ g& _7 D. C' o% U. a
$ z# [' J% Y* e8 {# S! u2 xSOL与XRP:
6 h+ l5 {( K% Z( F: ~7 s
# y2 ?- ~7 |: ?0 E$ q1 FSOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。+ [4 \1 ~; u4 Q& Y
, D V( K; n' N! H1 xXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
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其他热点项目:7 p3 _) y/ K% M# h
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。' ^" G; {3 I0 {+ z* M1 l3 A+ o
2 ~; D F' K) D3 P山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。9 t9 m# v& S0 k
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目% X- A7 V( e0 M u* o
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
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( D) u6 E* M! q) x蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
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新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
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市场展望
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7 S, I( j5 {7 _* i0 ]7 X随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。2 u7 g% w' [2 p: e% _
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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