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[lastpost] => 2799362 Strive 计划通过发行优先股筹集 1.5 亿美元，用于购买比特币及偿还债务（转） 1769044262 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格预测：多头将捍卫 10.8 万美元还是会进一步下跌？（转）
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比特币的价格如何？
# C/ l0 i$ J& y' r4 w3 Y! w最新的比特币价格走势显示，突破布林带上轨的尝试失败，随后迅速跌至中线，并从盘中支撑位107,400美元附近短暂反弹。30分钟和4小时图显示，5月23日出现了一次显著的抛售K线，在比特币短暂测试111,000美元区域后，触发了看跌吞没形态。
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5 g9 `2 C- z/ a9 z+ k( V尽管自5月7日以来，4小时图上出现了强劲的上行通道，但此次下跌依然出现。目前，价格正在测试该上升通道的中线，这预示着多头的关键时刻。如果跌破该支撑位，我们可能会看到更深的回调，跌向105,900美元。
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( ?: \, G5 ?* ~/ B) V# P技术分析：EMA、布林带、趋势线+ n8 [/ H) }) o: v& J
4小时图上，比特币价格已跌破20日均线（108,753美元），目前正在测试50日均线（106,934美元）的短期支撑位。该区域也与布林带中轨（109,405美元）重叠，后者近期已从支撑位转为阻力位，表明上方布林带存在压力。, d( j( L" R4 ^- n5 x
: Z" _( l3 O1 i) @/ T5月7日以来的趋势线支撑位仍然完好，但面临威胁。如果价格跌破106,800美元，我们可能会看到价格跌向104,200美元，即100日均线所在位置。上行方面，近期阻力位在110,000美元附近，随后是112,800美元，此前的供应区域曾阻止价格上涨。7 \, Z3 C7 ]& j! M4 m. |; \7 I- c
5 U+ Q) \2 V% S2 w动量指标：RSI、MACD、Ichimoku、Stoch RSI2 |, g) [! d4 Q: [
动量工具开始反映看跌背离。30分钟RSI指标跌破45，且尚未出现明显反转迹象。与此同时，MACD柱状图已转为红色，信号线向下穿过MACD线，证实了价格图表上显示的疲软走势。
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9 ~: N( Q8 ?6 P3 m4 n较低时间框架下的一目均衡表显示，比特币交易价格低于转折线和基准线，且低于云层，表明短期趋势已耗尽。然而，前方云层仍然稀薄，这意味着即使多头重新获得力量，阻力也有限。
# G6 o9 ^# u( B) D9 S4 X5 ~
5 D5 z' o8 U! x$ N5 [- ~9 }随机 RSI 在 30 分钟图上闪烁超买信号，在 80 关口附近出现看跌交叉，警告如果成交量未能确认，任何反弹都可能立即遭到拒绝。) f/ S* u/ B. B5 y) P
# W B# `/ A- X ?, q; U短期展望及预测表
2 @' _% v7 D9 l3 F比特币价格的走势在很大程度上取决于价格对106,900美元至107,300美元需求区间的反应。如果多头能够有力地守住该区间，反弹可能会重新瞄准109,800美元和111,000美元。如果未能守住该区间，则可能跌向104,000美元至105,000美元区间。
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