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[lastpost] => 2808338 特朗普宣布提高关税后比特币短暂下跌后反弹（转） 1772024763 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下跌，黄金触顶——但 Uptober 尚未结束（转）
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今年十月已经测试了比特币的[BTC]信徒。在通常被称为“Uptober”的月份过半时，BTC 发现自己处于陌生的境地，遭遇了历史上最糟糕的月中表现之一。4 p6 N: {# ]* n( {
) o. g1 m, G* O( c/ N但你看不到的是，比特币收盘上涨的可能性仍然很大，罕见的BTC-黄金图表细节也表明可能已经触底。
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Uptober 能否如期实现目标，还是说这将是它的终结？
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" _( C$ o3 _9 p5 F9 A7 P3 B9 _开局艰难，但历史看好牛市& k; t/ M2 J0 d# {
2025 年 10 月已经赢得了比特币十月份表现为有记录以来第二糟糕。对于通常看涨的月份来说，这是一个令人惊讶的转折。
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来源：Alphractal/ X1 u. Y& T( Q7 v
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15年来，只有四个10月份收盘下跌。但鉴于比特币最终上涨的可能性高达73%，胜算仍然对比特币有利。
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尽管开局不稳，但许多人相信本月结束前可能会转为看涨，保持这种势头。
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* P( s: y5 x2 ~; a, F% @- [事情变得有趣了
; s' n" f1 u( p0 z6 N5 yBTC/黄金比率中罕见的信号表明形势可能很快就会发生转变。
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0 w8 V, U) v& N3 ?: u, _来源：X
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根据最近的数据，该比率已达到迄今为止仅在主要市场底部出现的水平，而这些时刻往往是从黄金转向比特币的最佳时机。
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BTC/黄金震荡指标徘徊在-1.8左右，从历史上看，这与BTC开始跑赢黄金的周期低点相关。+ F* @. P' R! T. N& c3 {- J
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正如 Alphractal 首席执行官 Joao Wedson 所说，该图表“基本上是在大声疾呼”现在是“出售黄金、购买比特币的时候了”。! k4 d! R+ B# `% c7 X) @( m* F3 ]# l
! U1 a- ?0 u7 ~2 f/ W S& H: \随着黄金价格处于高位，而比特币出现触底信号，风险回报方程现在可能更倾向于加密货币，而不是传统的避风港。
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空头在 10.7 万美元附近失去动力
7 r7 i( M- w; j; j. k经过几天的持续抛售，截至发稿时，比特币似乎稳定在 107,000 美元左右。4 U" S1 |/ \, q* o! m
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来源：TradingView( l: W* I6 }# L, s1 ^- r. |( R
( [' _' I) x0 g0 M% g2 s2 Z日线图显示看跌势头减弱，RSI 指标显示 BTC 处于超卖区域。与此同时，MACD 图柱趋于平缓；如果买盘活跃，则可能出现动能逆转。
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- A% c2 p9 J' r9 F( i然而，BTC 的交易价格仍然低于关键 EMA（20、50、100），整体趋势仍看跌。
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I* F- {5 S# w, e2 X# {突破 110,000 美元的决定性举措可能确认复苏，但在此之前，有点乐观永远不会伤害任何人。
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十月才过一半别急着下结论，比特币这货向来爱搞幺蛾子 |
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这波跌得挺狠，但老韭菜都懂，Uptober还没完呢 |
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