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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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* A7 H8 o- k0 Z/ F9 v- }5 q其实原文标题不是这样的- ^# w, |8 Y. h" K/ A0 v- g
( w# m1 ]0 _5 p* J/ I# X' l5 J
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
1 S) g. J! M) V5 I% N& ?4 Z9 z. h6 [$ P
7 z' o+ o. Y: d5 O- _
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...7 W! P$ J/ A8 V7 k1 \
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。6 c2 `0 {/ X" J0 N
, O& _, V3 ]% r, v1 Q 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。4 L. s+ `- w4 ]! n1 Y2 q- Y& \
9 ?& {3 @1 c: x) ]# ]; f
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
# y3 I7 ^6 p2 Z 3 ^7 o c# H, ?3 V9 j, ?4 q. P! ~+ e
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
( I' P* ?4 G- G/ \1 N「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」& @ S, L9 H* _% `6 o( X, b
1 `/ e5 x8 U w. k3 l( |6 Q
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。8 m% x9 z4 q! f5 D$ r. b0 e5 w: ?- X
3 b9 J! b0 o6 W3 E+ o% l接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
% S% Z8 I( V7 k9 F因此铜板较容易出现正面。
0 l) K6 o3 r0 c( W. @2 K; u长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 7 `( J. H& K0 P+ ]' N
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
" |' n0 {* l! o7 A3 k心想赢定了。3 E; S6 p+ w% p7 D
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，% j# v& c g( |4 x x5 k" c
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」" H1 y r) K% G& ]
/ ?0 x/ i* j j5 X
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
5 U8 k l3 ~9 C# N, g但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
) r/ v/ F8 S' i8 ?/ x他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 + }# y* B) W- l Y# d8 f
上帝回答道：
; r9 q* t1 M1 E「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
4 P! A! T9 {$ W1 L「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」, s. m" i6 }0 r
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
: v: j; ~! A1 {) {: N4 n4 u) Z) I1 j* D# I% Z
赌徒恍然大悟，
& @0 N6 f1 l( v2 P4 h3 R: |0 l& ]9 O$ p原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
: k. \' D4 {; }竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
4 F6 p; z5 N, p" c. w5 D# v「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
; m1 e6 B, ?- ?6 Z上帝说完便不见踪影。 7 ?6 z% T( S' T! ~0 @* X
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
( J' I8 \/ J' n s; G8 C! M若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
/ c+ i* I9 c# }, a4 m' |1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
9 u. {, W3 J2 R对赌徒十分有利。' H- j/ z/ D }. Q3 c; {7 R' F
* K: b1 c( o! ~& b2 s! ~3 c& \但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
: s4 v) G# c+ _- P" ?& R在还没掷到1000次之前，
, @' m% n. z$ j' w" Q仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。/ l* D1 ?9 z- c; R f
4 W: ?0 A; S( ]' k 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。8 R+ {/ A Y4 {2 ^" M7 ]$ B% k
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。 F4 y. q& D1 j0 D% A' M
: R6 h; h4 t- _" A8 i# J 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，3 X6 _' s* _9 }
$ m2 j5 f: j; o: ^7 H/ Y$ ?9 I 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ / t3 h7 {- J% H7 v0 l* M
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