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    [seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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    [lastpost] => 125127	升降盘理论	1741350473	france89
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此帖转贴,作者wloo  (凉咖啡) 
* A! L3 r( z9 J8 i0 l, aDubo不是好东西,盲目的赌真的会让你倾家荡产。但是如果你真能掌握其中某些实4 A" e- y. N3 N# c( u 
质,结果也许真的会大不一样。* z! B/ E9 u( K- N, I$ @8 M 
一个玩21点的,在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,他一个晚上就能赢走90万多4 w, f4 P% C# ^ 
美元, F/ `* p: m2 l5 a 
他凭自己的技术,要养家糊口是不成问题的。要说华尔街那些人能在某种程度上掌 
* F+ E( Y3 Y  w% m/ |0 X控国家经济,也是事实。他们所做的某些工作跟赌有紧密联系的。所以说,小赌可 
# C0 l+ I" }  e8 }) W以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民,也不能算是痴人梦话。/ m1 W4 o, n4 Z3 Z 
Dubo有多种,这里只说赌彩,就是玩彩票。 有人说,彩票是愚者的Dubo,智者的游) x: Y! o2 W0 E* B. f 
戏,我赞承这种说法。 
3 S' m# O/ h. y8 P, T现在还没听说过什么人能用玩彩来养家糊口、救国救民,如果真能玩到这种境界, 
6 P- c7 B8 Z9 ?- b也算世界状元了!但如果你非赌不可,就必须首先具备成熟的心理素质。1 a( w" C7 ?8 W6 A; @8 O9 b 
首先应该面对的是关于彩票公证性的挑战。: l- l2 H& J8 @( `  M6 n 
玩彩前,每个人都要先问一个问题:彩票公司公正吗?出号真的是随机的吗?1 ^, R3 b0 W' b/ T 
疑问1:现在世界上主要国家(包括加拿大,不包括天朝)的彩票公司都在用一种 
* }, R; J( Z7 M% r2 N+ _0 V" U4 A% `1 AG-tech技术保护,不敢对G-tech多说什么,只是在下面列出很多彩票玩家经常提出 
# B' ~4 ^2 s( T% v5 K7 c的一些与G-teck 有关的问题: 
2 x0 v) b8 E$ h# F6 q* Why one organization called “G-TECH” behind the world lotteries? 
3 x* D$ I; K( T; }/ P8 m$ ^9 hIs it because those world governments cannot afford to buy the 
3 ^, b4 {' F* l  X: w2 U; R. W- D/ Sequipment outright unless G-TECH supplies it to them?# o) t3 [6 j  T 
* Why G-TECH collect percentage of the profit from the local operators?# N& t. S/ G2 U 
* What more is in to lotteries apart from Machines and Balls?+ E! L* T  G4 ?  p* b 
Could it be software involved? 
* X/ k: t+ @- P5 _* Why world data such as UK, France, Germany, Spain and even USA have the 
; V: @, V# m7 N* Q  \same resemblance but never and ever match entirely?: r. u' ~$ J; B% q$ } 
* Why satellite terminals are involved if the draws are taking place locally, 
' {- P) d4 S' R, lis it because to transfer data back to G-TECH for calculations?) c. v6 o# y$ C4 S8 E 
* Why there is a minimum of half hour interval from the shut down of terminals) T6 D4 n4 `* @8 Q3 B+ o 
to the time draw takes place, what the organizers do during this time? 
4 q* a- d6 u& S; h5 R, r! f* How can the local organization running the lottery like Camelot in UK can take 
2 E+ p. D; O* k9 k& D( Q* Otheir share of sales (%50 I believe) before the draw takes place especially5 B# D/ N( l" z' N 
where there is a minimum prize of £10 guaranteed? ? How do they know how 
/ x/ m7 S- K7 N  g8 ]! kmany $10 winners there are to calculate their sums when there is a possibility9 ~3 D& d; C+ m+ g/ `1 \8 L/ B 
of the number of £10 winners exceed from the total sales?; d4 _3 I# Y  _/ v4 T8 |! \ 
** 注:据说G-tect理论需要30分钟去完成某些“优化”计算 
/ J  c3 X' k! t% m: P0 F9 G# e** 注:理论上讲,过去的中奖号码最多在4500期后就会出现首次重复。4 |: P" l5 b: i, `  T. x/ T. } 
疑问2:曾有人在某彩票玩家网站上贴出下面文字,后来经有心人查证,其作者IP7 f3 G- c& D/ T7 X$ [ 
似乎是控制加拿大649、Super7的彩票公司,就是说是彩票公司内部的人发出的...( B) o* h& z/ t3 v3 d% e4 W$ J% | 
Winning numbers how there are selected! z+ T+ f$ z( x 
This is the way we select the winning numbers:7 J& @. H4 R) u" b9 W* Z5 m 
Select "XXX' Numbers_set from Played_numbers 
$ M( y- n% G0 gwhere Province_of_played='XXX' and city_of_played='XXX" and time_of_played='XXX' 
" H; n" }, `0 K& Q: f$ nand Method_of_Played='XXXX' 
8 W' Z' ^* R1 H& e( oOn each ticket we record the place, the time and the way the numbers have been selected. 
( M1 `8 I; z$ `1 q% `We run this query against all played sets.! j2 W3 O2 H5 W" k. c% s7 N 
We then feed the drawing machine with the results, the outcome will always be what we want.9 u( O/ n7 j% D 
For example if we want to have a single winner from Ontario, who played quick pick we run 
( T6 K  e9 C% `1 L" @the following query: 
1 N( i" ~- X  E5 h  [$ I5 E* MSelect unique numbers_set from played_numbers 
2 l/ P, t! g) N0 m$ f! g' H" ewhere province_of_played='Ontario' and method_of_played='quick pick';2 g, X0 K$ `+ G3 A# {& Q6 Y+ g+ Z 
It just takes less than 5 minutes to get the results. 
: }7 Z1 A0 ~4 T. E. t; V+ @! pWe prefer players wo play quick pick because our machine predict the numbers. 
/ Z) x8 v5 R! g4 j! ^6 e$ }If we do not want a winner we run the following query: 
+ ?. l& J+ Y2 a& S" {1 i, D) x# ~) ySelect unique numbers_set from all_numbers_set where numbers_set not in played_numbers;7 i3 _1 m: s! i 
上述英文是原文,没经过任何改动。1 L& ?7 r1 t. Q$ l7 c# {6 @6 h8 u 
虽然此帖没明说是用在何种彩票上,但后来因为其作者IP的曝光(彩票公司内部人),& e$ n8 {* @% O' N/ Y4 X 
很让人怀疑加拿大649、Super7的公正性。如果这是真的,很恐怖。 
6 _3 _, [& G$ t# Z疑问3:为什么现在加拿大彩票公司不实况转播摇奖过程,为什么加拿大彩票公司1 U* G. z( d2 g$ Z5 @ 
在停止售票1个半小时后才开始摇奖,而且每次摇奖只有几个人参与(一两个摇奖: L6 d% }6 z; F9 P( k: M6 n 
人员加三两个摄录的技术人员)?( M1 k! I- f; [* @1 [ 
为什么摇奖过程没有法律公证人员参与、证实?为什么所有玩家购买号不能在摇奖 
/ s6 {; d# v. G* V/ H: h前刻在一张非重写的光盘上(体现公正性方法之一)?等等,很多问题。/ w2 B( l! H: }' Y  m( V# m 
疑问4:为什么大多数情况下,“中奖者”信息不公开?(有人指出有很多未曝光的重* `1 {  ]; @: ]- ?; g: @0 J 
复中彩者)+ f' T( e7 E  `4 `; p 
为什么几年前安省649出号与同期加拿大649出号极其相像,远远超过其理论上的' J1 |- v# c3 G: ]$ C 
可能性?. x, X" O' }9 j, @ 
疑问5:为什么彩票公司很多公开年薪超过10万的工作人员,几乎所有人公开的Taxable 
5 b' }' [! K( O1 ?$ xBenefits只有不到200元?不用上税的Benefits有多少? 
3 ]0 E, P  s: Z& d2 M" \下面附件里包括部分2003年OLGC年薪超过10万的Name、Position、Salary、 
$ Y* J7 F! P4 `) `+ XTaxable Benefits。其实还有很多的疑问,但以上的疑问足以使一个成熟的人望而 
0 m" [! }4 T* E7 z7 m3 n+ E止步。我个人的感觉,相比之下真正公正的彩票是天朝的彩票。如果你有成熟的心 
# z$ w$ W( ?3 y! _理素质包容以上疑问,并且还坚持非赌不可,那么你还需要了解一些有关彩票的最3 ?3 H* P0 ]( c7 o9 N7 ` 
基本的知识。: P& U4 d6 {9 M6 I 
应该承认,通过适当的分析,是可以大幅度提高中奖机率的。虽然那个玩21点的, 
# S. O8 F4 r1 ?  s% t在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,一个晚上就能赢走90万多美元,但是对彩票 
- p5 }  {3 W, Y/ k1 ^而言,却完全不是这样。其实对彩票研究而言,提高3%的中奖机率并不困难。比* n: J# T$ ?# h" v, v 
如几周前,某人给出20个数字,说明是其后10次加拿大649最佳候选号。结果中52 D5 e% Q5 m- B8 _7 a 
个(或以上)中奖号至少3次以上。; u: q& u$ m. E; I% C& e 
理论上,49选20中5的几率是3.2153%,此人的结果提高30%以上的中奖机率。可 
3 K3 C2 M( T" C5 s* U结果是他自己最多中了10块钱。原因很简单,彩票可能性的数据量太大,除了专业 
2 |# [' j* U/ G) M8 I玩彩的,没有人会每期投入几十万。- l$ k6 l7 ?2 D) D9 T* r 
20选6有38760种可能,20选5加另外29选1有449616种可能,每期花$976752, 
1 w+ i% @1 i" ?( H" S似乎专业玩彩的也不敢这样投。结论是即使你提高了30%的中奖机率,尤其是没有6 w5 `. z! G+ K+ n$ o- v9 I6 r 
人敢100%保证它的号能每次都达到30%的中5个机率,如果每次买全可能号码,最 
' z( m6 f- D- Y; C1 H( ]后你还有70%的机率是赔。 
3 H0 Y; O! @  g- {5 r7 z) c即使用旋转矩阵选号,20中5保3也要20个以上,仍然赔。如果不自己选号,去quick& Z9 M6 Q: g: o: @& r3 D 
pick,就是机选,那你几乎是没有什么机会的,即使是10块钱,你也会很难得到。1 u; {; i, ~" ~* S! q 
且不说上面提到的G-tech保护,首先,理论上的中奖机率就少得很。理论上的机率 
1 ^8 P6 t6 E+ k3 y9 s# M% g4 \# t也不保证100%中奖机率。  y( g3 f/ C: n$ [1 p 
举个具体的649的例子,中3的机率大概是1.765%(或1/57),但你买57张彩票, 
1 c9 O2 }. G) t却不能100%的保证中3。如要100%的保证中3,现在的世界纪录是163,就是最少" [$ ]# y8 D* P# x* N 
买163张彩票(当然按特定组合了),才能100%的保证你中3个。如果你老能设计 
  ~6 ~! ~/ i  v: m+ n$ H一种组合,用低于163的数额就能保证中3,可以去参加Lottery Wheeling6 J$ v& U% d. P4 S! O& k2 W& V& e. T 
Challenge,也弄个青史留名。当然,这特殊的163张彩号组合,肯定不会受G-tech. [) j5 e! H* Y' X 
影响。问题是用163张彩票,$326,去赌$10奖金是否值得。 
# x" i  Y8 }: H8 C/ i  s如果在这时你老还是非赌不可,那么该如何赌呢?不同的人有不同的技术,如果你" o: f1 v/ l$ `2 \$ T' R 
没有白胡子老头托梦告诉你中奖号码,只能多在历史数据里下功夫了。 
+ r2 O. h- T  q* }; [$ Y说到彩票研究,会有很多人说是痴心妄想。2 z9 Y3 J5 s% F! F; `' _& u 
明白人会用概率理论来说明彩票是不可预测;$ ^/ u4 q6 e- C9 k  P$ g 
不明白人会说,如果你能预测,就先来中几千万; 
1 W! L- h! K) G8 R不明不白的人会说,中大奖的人都活不长,等等。 
& V: s0 d; f. s3 d/ G9 x. B" W且不管这些不同人的心态,仅对彩票本身而论,要研究彩票,只能从历史数据着手,6 [9 v6 `3 f+ y( q7 L$ B2 z 
前提是你要承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有某些联系。2 y9 R" C. V8 N5 D. P 
比如说第2527期彩票中奖号码是20 21 22 29 39 41,那么理论上第2528期的中奖8 i! O+ d2 `% S9 i 
号码于上期没有任何重复数字的几率是43.6%,有一个重复数字的几率是41.3%。 
9 X8 {8 \, |  x- i0 z; L对所有前2527期结果统计表明,每期与前一期没有重复数字的次数是1086,重复 
7 B4 w& f! }8 q( y/ M$ I1的次数是:1047。另一方面,每期与20 21 22 29 39 41比较,没有重复数字的次 
1 ~0 |4 b; ~% p; Z8 S  J数是1102,重复1的次数是:1040。这些统计结果显示基本与理论结果一致。 
7 W& g8 {2 d- f) |3 i5 j% R明白人知道这里我想说明什么。 
8 G* B# M: _; V) Y$ G' u' M3 {在第2528期中,不同的组合,其出现的机率是不一致的。比如,与2527期重复2或3 P- t: K+ z) _* Q# C/ U5 u( H9 l 
大于2的组合,其出现机率要小于15.1%。承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有一定联系, U9 @& h5 m. s7 M# L6 b$ r 
后,你可以设计不同的参数去分析,其中某些是非常有效的。大家分析同一个对象, 
- C* R- H: t. G7 u/ Z. A2 C9 I但具体方法不同,其结论有天地之差。比如国内很多“专家”出书,分析奇偶,目前为 
# a, {, z: k% y) E% ~5 h- H止,没看到任何实用的分析方法。简单的通过近期奇数个数、偶数个数来判断下期1 K4 [7 Z4 s8 M. A% C 
奇偶分配,简直就是天方夜谭、痴人说梦。对具体的分析对象、分析方法的讨论, 
) F; g$ \  N1 Y/ [/ n5 a9 L: D有时间时再听俺下文分解俺自己的心得。也请各位高人帮助填补下面内容。" k% l* Y0 P8 {, I5 J! e 
小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民。 |   
 
 
 
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