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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 , w) A' z4 h: T
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
* `5 F* L; h! K9 e* \4 g) m$ s. e6 \& O! R, d& ?; }* b
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...0 z# i5 O! M0 V) b5 i$ F
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。8 a0 |2 b |5 i! r2 V/ A7 R( g8 ~+ [
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。' T% b: w+ M& x- E% C
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」2 f/ k& c* @3 @& h' M, F1 K
1 B9 U% Z+ k, t4 _8 v「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ( L0 l9 |4 G+ X1 Z) U; O* @
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」2 g# D& Y" @% Q* K6 E( I
$ i& q5 Q; _) G) J2 e 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。 a. \( v( N- F' o a4 B O
# {, `; X( ]7 T, R3 y3 z接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，9 B: h: ]4 p$ p
因此铜板较容易出现正面。, I$ y2 O( m" X$ R- `2 m" i0 q
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
0 p u$ i. h( z) {; M因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
/ A6 _# I2 m: B+ K心想赢定了。
: N) r1 s0 ~) n# `3 S
5 Y0 g7 Q; }7 W3 _$ i没想到开始不到半刻钟，
( x7 @" Y1 x) i; L赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」( V1 e) \; n0 [
& k6 ~1 o, `7 g; k9 Y; h; U* Q& i' |赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，( R- P3 P* G o0 \: A1 e
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?; `9 X+ X; `, g, q) R) _9 f
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
+ _" l4 f; r+ j: y
上帝回答道：: \5 R/ @& p5 z- b& h
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」2 e: c6 z. I* X$ I7 n V4 d
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
6 X: w' h1 Z5 W- O「而不是先发生在我身上。」
, V% r% m$ _3 S+ ~% N( u9 a0 b- F6 t6 A" q3 ?3 U i8 u
赌徒恍然大悟，
8 f6 ]. g$ O q原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
1 i* m2 B# r$ Z& w" w' ^& q" W竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！! H( A( r; J3 K
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」3 ?! [3 P+ }! E
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
7 B- ]4 M8 Z: |% K若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
s& d9 ?$ N6 y8 ]) b' w1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
* Y5 y- [; q2 @5 `, ?# m对赌徒十分有利。 k& v8 [) b/ F: f3 Z
# s6 {- J- X# y& ~# l2 T1 @但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
& l \% Y& S; w& }在还没掷到1000次之前，
/ @) e' p! F' u- @- `% ? G仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
6 p* H' \8 L2 b# d1 i k' ~- t: n# G8 X1 ~7 X% h
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。 D, W7 J$ P: J9 H# x, L
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。# ~" T' V/ g& Z1 `( Z
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，4 P% J% B9 z, n; }% l8 Z- V: ]4 e
$ v' B: E) i/ i! U 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 0 ?( }* y& B0 L# R
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