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[虚拟币交流] 美股比特币最终都涨了,但市场已经彻底变了(转)
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    美股波动性罕见超越新兴市场和比特币,同时一向被视为安全资产的美债剧烈波动,这让投资者开始质疑持有美国资产的明智性。
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瑞银认为,一旦全球无风险利率出现波动,意味着所有市场都将被颠覆。分析师Ed Al-Hussainy更是一针见血地指出:“我其实不担心$ Y& @: N- O7 Y$ e$ w
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衰退,我担心的是金融危机。”* d: O. ?+ X+ H# n9 n: n# a
美股周五重回涨势,看上去市场风险偏好情绪恢复,但实际上投资者已经开始质疑美国资产的安全性,尤其是美债的剧烈波动,让金
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融危机的恐惧再次笼罩华尔街。
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过去一周,美国10年期国债收益率创下20多年来最大单周跳升,美股则跳水后又暴涨。表面上看,标普500指数周涨超5%,美债收益9 s+ }# s, p4 q* l- k8 M3 H7 K

  c3 L. M% `7 I率回到2月水平,比特币收盘走高,似乎一切如常。1 B% R. J/ g% Q. p
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然而令人不安的是,本周美股、美债和美元同时下跌的现象,正是典型的新兴市场特征,而非全球最安全资产的表现。尤其本周美国2 r. {$ V/ K3 K
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长债出现如此大的波动,流动性危机似乎就在眼前,这让投资者开始质疑持有美国资产的明智性。瑞银集团首席策略师巴努·巴韦贾更; Y5 b7 u! w* a' g9 o
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是表示:4 L' }4 O% N0 f, f  ]  q" _

: ]' W: R/ a9 P$ g1 C4 r' F+ A+ a0 @这太可怕了。我们正在重新定义全球无风险利率,如果全球无风险利率出现波动,它将颠覆所有市场。
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历史罕见,美国资产波动性超越新兴市场和比特币
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特朗普最近的关税政策不仅损害了对美国经济的信心,也动摇了投资者对美国政策方向和美元资产的信任。即使以华尔街漫长的历史
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标准来看,本周都是一个惨烈的交易周,美股像是坐上了过山车,美债美元的走势更是暗示美国避险地位似乎不保了:
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周一,因所谓的乌龙关税消息,美股上演15分钟脉冲式巨震,纳指一度低位暴拉10%,美债跳水。
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& ?) V4 c( l1 h% J! E9 S8 Q周二,不会关税豁免的消息粉碎美股反弹希望,道指盘中高位狂泻超2000点,标普抹平超4%涨幅转跌,美国国债市场则出现去杠杆式大跌。. f6 \( G8 w# T$ H
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周三,美国暂缓部分关税,三大美股指至少收涨近8%,标普创2008年来最大涨幅,美股交易量创下300亿股的历史新高。十年期美债5 E" w% g, @4 ~# H! o
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收益率冲高回落。
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周四,全球投资者逃离美国资产,美国股债汇三杀,纳指跌超4%,美元两年来最大日跌,黄金新高。
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7 y- y+ a. A2 X% G4 X. ~周五,美联储暗示或出手,美股反弹收涨,但美债美元的跌势,警示着美国避险天堂的地位似乎不保了。) [: B4 u# z% x6 o, M, H
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( M1 Y5 {! F) E, ^Loomis, Sayles & Company的投资经理Andrea DiCenso表示:"美国市场是否开始表现得像新兴市场?毫无疑问,% e, K; c/ r3 [$ [. [( y1 I
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是的,这正是我们所看到的。"* V# G& o; z, t% c/ D: _
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根据数据显示,美股ETF的波动性甚至超过了追踪新兴市场的基金,也一度高于比特币。这种情况除了疫情、去* g( f$ }' ^3 k+ @. x
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年8月危机和美联储激进加息时期外,几乎从未出现。" Y: q$ o2 s; u1 ~5 Q0 T0 F

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Renaissance Capital的Neil Dutta在给客户的邮件中直言:"标普500指数像加密货币一样交易,这可能不是好事。"
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2#
再继续看看特朗普这个神经病的变化去吧
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其实如果以价格行为来看的话就是提前做了超大回调,但是会不会转趋势就另外说了
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4#
市场确实是不是以前的市场了。
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
那当然是会有一定的变化来的啦。
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有变的时候也是会有问题啊
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那也是有一定的变化来的了吧
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最后也终于也是会有在上涨
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