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[lastpost] => 2749335 分析师：美联储 9 月降息的前提是后续报告不会太差 1752587224 比推快讯
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7.13以太坊（ETH）比特币（BTC）行情分析：CPI数据来袭加息75点已成定局？
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对于当前加密市场重点依旧面临两个严重风险问题，首先加密市场内部资本的加速清算，其次来自外部美联储持续大幅加息，压制加密市场持续发展。从六月中旬至今，加密市场内部机构破产与清盘。巨头的倒台只是第一步；对于机构资产的清算和拍卖，以及投资者信心受损所引发的撤资潮，对当前整体市场范围内的资产估值造成了二次打击。主流龙头币种BTC的价格从高点已经下跌超70%；市场应用实践币种ETH的价格则已经从高点下跌超75%。
本周还剩下3个公共交易日，对于加密市场我们重点需要关注今日公布的CPI数据情况，这对于美联储7月加息预期和最终的加息幅度都将产生极大影响。市场对于日内数据预期是大概率会刷新40年的新低，但结合当前公布的欧元取数据来看整体偏向利好局面。所以笔者个人看法是当前市场隔夜出现的下跌走势已经提前消耗了利空走势，数据公布后行情短线下跌后，出现快速反弹的概率极大。同时数据必将引起市场对于7月美联储加息预期的变化，这将带动今晚的第三波行情。
7月13日比特币（BTC)行情分析解读：比特币方面本周开盘以来，行情延续上周末的下跌走势，给出了三连阴的K线走势，日内开盘延续性减弱，伴随欧元区CPI数据公布后短线止跌反弹。K线有望回归昨日破位的反弹趋势线上方位置，当然日内需要重点关注美国CPI数据情况。就目前市场预期是大幅利空，市场也是出现提前消耗利空的走势，所以对于美盘行情走势笔者个人看法数据只要不出现大幅利空，行情短线小幅下跌后止跌反弹的概率极大，数据后需要重点关注的数据对于7月加息如期的行情变化和趋势变化。
7月13日比特币（BTC)日部分操作计划和后市行情预测分析：比特币日内操作关注反弹20000位置空单进场，目标关注19500-19200位置分批止盈，止损放在20500上方位置；下方回踩19200位置支撑，多单进场，止损18800下方位置，目标19800-20000区间直接离场。
7月13日以太坊（ETH)行情分析解读：以太坊方面昨日的分析得到完全的验证，周线和月线上看自高点位置3000一线给出死叉走势后，持续维持空头排列走势，上周的小幅复苏也未能在短线上改变这种走势；日内行情由于提前消耗了昨日市场预期CPI数据提前出现下跌走势，日内结合当前欧元去出现数据小幅利好的消息，反弹至1080位置力度开始减弱，当前重点承压位置在1120位置；对于今晚数据行情走势大概率出现下跌反弹走势，同样数据后对于加息预期的变化，行情预期冲击压力先后承压盘整。
7月13日以太坊（ETH)日内部分操作计划：以太坊（ETH）操作上关注反弹上方1095位置空单进场，止损1130上方位置，目标关注1045-1020一线位置；下方回踩1030位置短线支撑多单进场，止损1000下方位置，目标关注1060-1080位置。
来源：金色财经 |
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