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[lastpost] => 2768457 比特币市场在不到一个月的时间内涌入超过 73,000 个 BTC —— 反弹即将来临?(转) 1758692375 知行合一
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当前离线
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势: ]' t( V+ y9 h- t: S& |7 [
: F8 W5 n' Y k. g过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
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PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期- b$ N& ~# g# O( [
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当前持仓成本:
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机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;
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a7 h2 ~+ b6 |2 ]/ YETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
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比特币价值回归:, f3 L5 T" S( N
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市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。- M+ ^! z# b; s/ O
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随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
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$ E* L, ]3 v1 w' ~3 f: ]# v加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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. T- l/ }. P6 Q, W& M: j3. 市场热点与反弹情况4 F% S" s# _9 @. ^
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。& z5 s3 K# t9 V7 U5 D6 m& P
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。) ]' s; j8 d# g, k/ ^% B: c8 W; G) h
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BTC:) E( P* R- j' Q1 T% ~
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
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如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
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4 v9 x2 k2 I4 n3 I+ b5 \SOL与XRP:) J2 W( O2 t. C; s+ C1 c) t
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。& w1 M, |4 c6 Y; T* \4 A0 \
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XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
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其他热点项目:+ X1 K% z% |, \4 J A' k+ m
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。4 v' n, G! }1 J8 @
% Q1 ~" J# f( w9 n; \8 y) I山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。" i Y5 Y( F) w* I! g
1 B# U) y7 Q- ]. }" t7 H4. AI赛道与新兴项目
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。: Y' v5 B6 u! b4 g" \
* m7 G+ R% r5 K9 ]* H' l2 |蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
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9 }! J% U8 s# R% S4 F新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。5 c% S! V) J6 I5 V/ F
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市场展望( n/ Q+ n; _, S! O
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随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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