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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
8 ?6 P- {+ K/ F+ oStablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破% G S6 a* H* Z3 m, \/ h2 W) |
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。2 F/ K& H; ^' a1 Y
) c( o/ M# y: m实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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, t, n, s/ t5 ~1 ], A6 n" t% M这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。2 T# n2 L$ _2 P
% @1 ?$ J, W7 |* s( D8 ]在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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3 i+ A' v' v6 [% b- z红色海洋中的四个幸存者* I% a' i) Y7 q' @6 O3 p: H! u% S
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。* A0 {9 H! f) f' F9 E& m$ K
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简而言之,表现不佳。% X/ m9 z, ?1 ?. G8 K% r; ?4 x
' y- x% Y& n1 M" w1 o大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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$ A, g# k, U u8 \- p3 C自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。8 N1 W* h1 o- g8 r1 n; M
$ X1 f& F* T& ~% Q0 ?: DAltcoin信誉的消失法案. b$ \6 H2 v9 j
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。
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交易的势头最近也消失了。; a, T4 t6 ^. {8 j% w7 B9 Y$ g
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。& G/ q% p. v( U5 a/ S C' q$ ~
* S* S3 N7 L& U$ C( `0 J6 L5 Z这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。9 N9 d1 u- ]1 x' I
; b4 p- l. h7 h十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。
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( p) E5 |! b7 r9 K% X6 y# Z当高峰转向警告时
2 B+ B& u. I0 m" g2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。- V4 b4 F4 M, D% I6 j+ ?6 ]1 c
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。1 v; Z: `* M2 B9 k' P
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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" P7 B. w# ~4 H) H# ?; f5 o* \每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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比特币还是胸围?( s1 _1 Q0 V7 R7 V" r! `, g
存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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