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[lastpost] => 2768743 从对立到共存？德银预测：黄金与比特币未来或同列央行储备 1758786682 rainwang
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[天策嗨聊]
金价创高却引发卖金潮，比特币会是下一个避险港湾？
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本月23日，国际金价再度创下新纪录，冲上 3290 美元，台湾银楼牌价也飙到 每钱 14,110 元，距离历史高点只差一步。但有趣的是，店头并没有出现“追高买进”的热潮，反而涌现大批人拿着旧金饰排队卖出，上演一波“卖金潮”。这一幕不禁让人联想到：当大家在高点把黄金兑现时，下一个避险的焦点，会不会轮到 比特币？
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根据台北银楼公会的数据，短短三个交易日，本地金价就涨了 2.3%，今年以来涨幅接近 33%。和以往“涨越多买越凶”的行情不同，这次投资人显得更谨慎：有人选择落袋为安，也有人担心金价触顶后再度回跌。毕竟，4 月高点过后那一波回调，大家记忆犹新。
- Z. K- \, ]# P5 z7 q# M+ v宏观环境仍然站在黄金这边。美国联准会持续降息、美元走弱，加上 ETF 与印度实物需求同步升温，让金价冲上天花板。但专家提醒，金价正逼近 4000 美元/盎司的关键整数关口，短线追高风险极高。
7 Z! Y, ~% f0 p2 a) ^7 _* K" N0 y' E与此同时，比特币的处境却有点尴尬。降息本该带动资金流入风险资产，但近期加密市场反而出现回调，显示“利好”早已被消化。不过，随着黄金避险需求被推到极致，不排除未来部分获利了结的资金，可能逐步转向比特币。换句话说，现在或许还不是比特币的避险时刻，但市场资金的流动，值得长期关注。
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金价再创天价，银楼却排起卖金长龙，这背后的道理其实很接地气：黄金再亮，也得看你敢不敢在高点兑现。只是问题来了——当黄金的避险空间被挤压，比特币会不会成为下一站？你会继续抱金不放，还是考虑在未来的行情里留点仓位给比特币？ ; J2 \5 {. T( f, c; j! n
最后，各位可知道论坛积分可以兑换公司筹码呢？也就是300天策币兑换300元公司筹码；600贡献值兑换300元公司筹码。想知道什么公司可以兑换到筹码吗？欢迎点击链接查询，同时申请积分兑换，然后坐等收到筹码好好发育~祝大家玩得开心，发育满满~
" C3 ?6 r, ^: y% N8 I8 Q传送门：积分兑换商品区 |
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哈哈，黄金这玩意儿就跟过年买年货似的，涨价的时候人人都说要再等等，结果一回头，价位已经翻天了。
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现在一钱飙到一万四，排队卖金子的比买的多，我看也挺正常，谁不想落袋为安啊？, K8 j1 ]+ U2 v
8 _5 ]* e/ t, X, k9 u; [金子再保值，它也不能生钱，放家里就是摆设。比特币倒是有点意思，波动大，心脏得够硬才敢玩。
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老百姓嘛，买点金戴着踏实，比特币就当看热闹，真上车了怕是睡不好觉。 |
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猜测不如理性的分析和预测！! v/ x$ g' S7 @! i5 p4 X9 i$ S
“卖金潮”是市场理性与情绪交织后最生动的体现。肯定绝大多数人依然认为，黄金的避险地位短期内是不会被动摇的，虽然比特币的确正在吸引越来越多的目光，挑战传统的避险格局。
7 i! R" Z' Z$ |: V* p 市场是走出来的。我们如何选择完全在于自己的分析与判断。作为一个投资者，如果只是猜测或象博彩下注一样的简单决定，那就太冒风险了。1 S3 L5 p7 K, [: Z8 L1 {3 `# E
每个人在做出决策前，恐怕要深入理解这两种资产的内在逻辑，并明确自己的投资目标和风险承受能力吧。0 @; ]- s9 ~0 y. o
继续拥抱千年黄金，还是尝试探索数字前沿，亦或是两者兼而有之，这都将构成一个人独特的投资理念和"钱途"啊。 |
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