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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测(转)
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元,专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。* _+ [' x+ C( R! ?9 k" L7 H
美元抛售推高比特币 E% A2 |5 J: _% p
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上,Dragosch补充说,美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以, f% M; U# K( ~
: Q* u n6 g9 p. c" Z/ C0 @来的最低水平。
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" r8 J; x |9 X( @* g“看起来,比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”0 c; h2 Y# G- L5 A; A, L7 K
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/ p. ]+ {9 Q# d根据附图,比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此,在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下,美元指! k3 X! y) P6 \
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数走弱(从100美元跌至97美元),从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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# C& M- Z. H, W8 G, y* n# Y1 }Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道,特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”,而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道,这将推
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. B: d' w2 ]1 S0 d7 z高黄金和比特币的价格。: E- [; Q1 T& a, B' h. l
2 z( P0 h* I3 X3 [3 r; d下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布,多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化 w$ c* z/ u5 J8 P
. B& P X" Y$ }7 B, u7 O, r剂。
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这里值得指出的是,黄金价格在周一再创历史新高(ATH),这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。8 ]- p1 l2 c8 R% F, q
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这意味着,在关税不确定性的背景下,投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币(BTC)作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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, V3 }5 H1 o# o了8.7万美元。
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然而,BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的,需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称,
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; C7 o5 z+ l! L k( a# ?% n. d& s“突破不错,但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何,你现在还不应该太兴奋。”# L' H$ S( [9 i! Q/ c& y
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7 H/ R: s6 z( v, f' D! [分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示,比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。0 Y+ i1 c" `; \
+ h# s) j- V/ V2 g E( A“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元,创造并确认更高的高点,并确认下行趋势的结束。”. F+ {4 x, U0 w0 b* K
" q- O4 a$ R1 y; TCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景,指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调,而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交. W" G: s. v' s. I- q
! x L% C* I# x( A5 K# h& r7 y5 a易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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