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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份# K# {8 I3 Y8 J/ y
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。, a0 Z! w6 l( l! o# S7 o; R0 S% ]
美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以# P) Q& ^, ]$ x' D5 X, k9 p# `, c/ W
+ k" P! B* s6 `! d9 ~' q, n k6 r来的最低水平。, j- g2 p3 u$ N y# ~( K+ v
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”; Z, v7 V6 d9 k. O# W+ n8 i
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指$ C3 n: h6 E" p- Y% f
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。- i% g* Z4 j$ h" z7 D' c$ N
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推9 G: u3 V; u3 |8 _& ]0 d
/ c+ N( ~# z7 ]/ ?1 @; ` x) N9 O高黄金和比特币的价格。
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7 b5 T0 z0 E. j8 u. I5 Q: N3 x下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化9 `! R/ I2 X+ ?; o9 }' a% I( v
8 R: \$ z$ Z- q3 K" s剂。 \7 }3 Y; K! t& H9 ~
2 `/ W) j; r5 S ]这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。$ }& ~- u5 K8 T K
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。2 F5 Y$ H3 V% ^
9 M9 p0 h8 e' J8 G& C" j9 G! m然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，. K$ \9 _6 e7 }8 \! x
$ ?* f9 b' O) A% W4 @$ [“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”1 W$ G% e$ g, ]: F- }9 u# e
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; @2 @5 K: D6 w! B) I分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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9 z, d7 P5 a( |7 j“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
# S! d' U2 j t' Q; S
4 w5 i" ^/ F$ P/ Y( `1 {CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交% n8 ]2 x* e9 U* e1 n8 |
+ d- W7 A( h% g) D: @易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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