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小分3种情况:- _5 a, `) K1 ~) |& T
" H8 @4 a5 I1 T8 E1 u( A$ l1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
3 a4 w1 ~ K. y, h8 P1 M7 }5 n) k2 Q! A
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
' i2 K3 T+ g* `+ [" A. e$ K* p5 M/ ~$ g8 H
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。5 U1 o" }9 u* m, x; z9 x9 O
; u# p9 M5 P4 v4 b9 {+ k K& W
2张牌8或9点的情况有:
8 H, B5 l9 d/ a: X- S
J' d+ w, O8 Q" r+ Y1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
' l* }* F& o. l8 e3 ]% J$ |7 V) |* \4 N7 T
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
1 o+ g- \# h! p5 O! P: K9 O. v) {) R6 X7 N' l+ Z7 k" T4 ~+ y- ]
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415' n9 N" j; O6 o/ U* ]- o
0 q/ O! z. ^, @! Q# K- ~8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415. f) w0 V& }/ F' y5 g+ h1 j1 m
' d S$ } o9 |4 z由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
|6 H" N! J, l+ |3 M
( e. c5 \% a* ?' o1 `5 T0 E- I通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
% d% ?2 W7 p1 d& s+ b* p& d! M% _
' u$ _; \/ r5 ], v5 G7 n那么我们可以得出. k+ J a: E( K7 C0 e5 j
$ d3 Z% F* i5 D7 K6 O' h1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
" E4 f% {6 p( X1 E3 w0 c
3 g$ ?6 g4 c! j7 w, M2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 & N% T4 r5 R4 T# g+ n
* w& T c* @ M2 V$ q- d6 w3 p3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491* B( Y" \) B& g9 s$ S
, H+ \# D- T' p4 V* d: N
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
+ y S+ p# _2 [) a7 i! i" h" Z0 k! C/ @0 ?6 ~8 F" {5 ]8 V/ Y
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.6211306772 F) a' S4 N K- m
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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