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小分3种情况:
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; v- z0 x* Z0 ]/ I% H1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
* O3 N1 q, P7 P5 _) ~9 V9 N) ^6 G4 f* n1 z' z Z" J# G- E
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
5 q1 a6 d1 o( d9 c- ~% c% k7 N5 I3 r+ C
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。. @! S! Z4 v6 Y8 L) b7 u& s
0 A: \7 K# U3 o& [# P6 U: X* o2张牌8或9点的情况有:
& I+ @8 @( y/ V2 `, s, g+ T$ L3 @1 b+ p/ ~# k1 ~2 |4 q; B
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
0 m1 ]# l+ e4 _
8 J& E7 X2 V5 l1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
2 E5 J( L* }' G
5 d1 q1 S, z4 b( R! s. Z4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
4 R8 V1 w3 h3 K4 G) l+ Y9 [, J
1 l0 K* ^0 ^$ f- o" F8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/4157 W5 g. Y6 d9 i9 s8 s1 }
' g: Y2 d" F+ N! l+ l1 O }由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。 Y) |' J. M. ]/ m2 L
3 M* |$ b: E- |通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
+ r/ v/ x( T3 I
3 j7 `% G9 w1 e2 {% I% r那么我们可以得出
3 M7 i' |* B8 E/ A6 c2 G3 U0 A! E; p8 M! y" h
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.1894346624 A6 M' o: ^8 F1 c" Z
8 x8 a" s& J0 E$ |* g9 x* A3 F2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 0 o" L9 D3 [' K4 p% W2 L
' w( A0 C/ g# `# c1 `
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
# c: g. C" ]: z- u- @; F1 ~- I4 g* Q1 Q0 j+ v0 X- |) f4 A* x% u7 M
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323' P- A f: S- T% ?! j% Y% Z% f
$ A6 ]; k) l- B( m& |百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677( E( a1 y/ Q$ A3 a2 p
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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