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| 
 
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经验:  天策币:  活跃币:  策小分:  总在线: 7260 小时 本月在线: 18 小时 
 |  | 
 
| 小分3种情况:" ^1 N5 w3 g0 t3 T " Z% P& U$ @! b/ J- j% _1 T
 1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。4 r4 n& L% i. x1 {6 u9 i1 \
 8 Y( U$ G% r0 j9 o1 I: b/ W. I* a
 2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
 5 D6 N; i3 H" s4 C/ v: W% Z
 " r+ t# k7 @+ ]. D3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。' ?5 X+ E/ E! }5 w: E
 
 % a& r( {- ~( j2张牌8或9点的情况有:
 1 g6 A3 |+ G8 R/ u' r/ b
 8 h& A! _+ K0 G8 o2 n. ^& q& z1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
 6 n: x" ~7 s' P  f& v. S: O9 X* P# U8 L) c% M
 1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
 ) L3 ~8 w5 |( r% m) P) Z% H/ E8 t) \
 8 o; s; ^5 H9 c8 L% V4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/4159 y5 q1 B, @+ z& q
 $ n6 i3 ~8 J5 W
 8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415# j7 b) ?" Y& i7 P  T
 3 h) O9 v% m4 \" w4 K0 e
 由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。3 b2 g. p1 y3 n/ o; h; @) P" }
 
 # R/ h# t+ _: B7 F通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
 $ n; @) [# m  l6 o4 {. ?# o$ V8 f/ ?( q% h
 那么我们可以得出+ {! H- S9 P$ z7 q0 _* R- T5 T+ s$ ?, |
 
 0 |# r6 W# i% _1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
 - J$ a1 _: t/ F
 2 R# w6 l6 |# y* Z, V2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171  % c! w% K" h4 r# D2 |4 g$ s
 4 j! ^3 Q6 |( p- b0 t- r. Y* c
 3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491+ r6 C! u( B$ M
 
 $ s6 K7 l% S$ N7 m$ X所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.3788693231 p( a( x( R/ g) R
 + K$ `, O6 @+ I6 v$ P+ N3 Y1 e, [! h
 百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
 8 z9 r2 m* [6 V5 G9 y3 }) r
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| 方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 | 
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