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[lastpost] => 2756844 比特币突破历史高点，以太坊逼近2021年顶峰（转） 1755175757 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；4 @, }# T0 ?+ `, S" p
8 [; R) i& z3 z. g0 D据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元0 M% ~2 I4 b0 g
1 d' n n8 ?. v" \9 [“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”0 {$ l+ X* m2 h) F8 Q, M+ R
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就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；
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需求上升与风险
6 u: |( F4 D8 L$ D投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。2 C; w/ a* G; y/ v! [
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从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；
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8 f2 l9 [* w9 v3 L) V) s事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。
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在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；4 z: D c2 l3 c8 c, [7 b: M
! l6 ?5 J6 L" s* T& M1 J$ s1 F因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；
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$ Y% x+ P- W5 O但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；2 w2 x: [) @/ t6 ~. C7 C/ B
/ I! e; {# M, ~* c9 ^/ a" Z. G对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。1 }( P7 O& E8 N
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根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。
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简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；) \% F# d/ ]3 O
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与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）
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