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[lastpost] => 2757730 比特币突破 12.4 万美元，但目前 ETH ETF 抢占了风头（转） 1755497905 万家灯火
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；
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据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元$ i- S. o6 j( ` Q- a
, D( J8 Y) B( f& _$ L2 j3 J. z. t3 I“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”
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' P/ k3 K y3 S! K# s就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；
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需求上升与风险4 a4 [9 [* ~& g+ @) g# U ?; f+ k
投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。
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从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；0 d9 a! i. t$ b; t6 E7 a
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事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。4 q; i: s% U5 Q
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在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；
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9 M* _1 P! r4 b6 p2 p/ S因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；9 h: s5 k/ R" Q Q: N; f* f
- `; E2 c( c( o3 Y9 {但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；6 p' O- H2 M% J/ e& e7 {. l
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对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。
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根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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9 @ k6 Q( e: Z: A9 r然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。
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简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；
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. y* }% i0 y# Z0 Z- G$ o& i与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）. E1 y! s$ g3 \' M1 x# _2 l
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