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[lastpost] => 2798522 比特币价格跌至 92,000 美元，7.85 亿美元的多头头寸崩盘（转） 1768825273 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；/ Z+ y: C& q0 T: v9 |' `
* r B: `7 O6 ]6 \- g据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元' s9 j9 W4 f/ ~) W' f; f9 U- z$ `
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“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”
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. H4 w: C3 f M就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；
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4 l" U& [' q% Y5 U需求上升与风险
, C: Z* y+ s0 j( t, F投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。8 M: Y) n# z G6 v
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从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；
8 c; H: W2 P, @5 d! @7 K( J% u4 R6 h4 m6 c# @" j
事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。* o* T, Q4 F* C/ S y
/ M; T& I+ V. p" m在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；
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- b9 d% Y5 Y# @* E0 ?* e5 {0 k* k因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；
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但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；4 @' I4 Q9 v3 f! c- N( Q
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对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。
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根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；* D0 i" K+ H8 X6 T' b
. O* u' L7 l, S+ U- d/ @* c然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。, C" i& O1 {7 W# R/ i
. Z, q. C3 B5 f; l. ^简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；
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4 U: W4 `% P5 ~7 h: H# ^与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）. l0 b/ U4 ?# L2 h! \1 c6 W
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