×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 26976
[posts] => 425319
[todayposts] => 16
[yesterdayposts] => 348
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2757646 山寨币清算量超过比特币:山寨币季节终于到来了吗?(转) 1755458146 中大奖
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 7214 小时
本月在线: 14 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势5 q, y) V! g* b
/ u8 _: ] v/ |' a过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。" ^* \- [; m, S8 m( r
; Q' o; [& Y5 i% k. ]PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
8 |, W4 D" M9 q5 U) ^
2 E0 Y( |9 W, A7 ~ lCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
" P' H; N/ x0 r& x5 u& U) z. B" S% A. H& F. C
; v. G% y+ a, Q8 n2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
2 g! D7 i) {2 \5 P% g" A5 d+ b. V1 p- ]- J6 s5 O9 J& e) s, B
当前持仓成本:5 y- m; x0 c, c; Z T
1 m/ Q8 i- N, u/ d
机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;0 H6 |& ], G+ u. y8 T' |
$ b$ p5 `4 k! Y8 m% o
微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;+ M! z9 A( A1 u
! H$ n0 S/ t# ^. T, A
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
8 k' E. L( G) k6 `+ p/ L' P$ M
1 ~! K1 `0 ]5 r5 x- |比特币价值回归:/ T3 l- `7 v' n% l. {8 E- j, c$ H/ ?
8 \6 a, ^. G8 n: Q
市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
" J7 d+ x$ Q) c% @% e; L# J. i! A4 _
随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。% d" R0 \/ Q1 [0 S
9 a/ f2 M" h. T$ d
加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
* J) ~8 ~. f7 d9 D3 E5 O, e& |" @) ~4 `* N1 I
3. 市场热点与反弹情况8 P1 u( q, Y# v. d4 r5 v
" a5 _$ G j# D0 xETH:
/ K4 ~) M5 B3 ~' W
; N. o" N* T6 K. D虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
) ~5 C) r2 d: [, i" [( E' H& [: F) x, Q) t1 Z( `7 l1 Q
机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。- e- e. ^. E: m$ ]
& ]& Q1 i& Q. J m h4 Y5 DBTC:3 n0 K9 \; r' I, h6 `; ~: p! k
, s* |; ]* \: W7 l8 V) X
尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。 ~" H* I' a' S/ g- [0 m
( _$ ^' T# n$ v# L如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
; ]$ g# W+ [( r r4 q& s" n9 P) u u u' v9 R/ T- i
SOL与XRP:" L+ I; _9 m. d8 @, S
0 z+ B4 @ y- b; t+ `( _
SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。5 v2 l+ v8 _2 D( L$ } h v0 c
. w X( F! K: p/ B
XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。; A/ Z/ p- a, S! b% l; Z6 V' r
' p" R) F+ T( b% c3 O$ b其他热点项目:
# t8 f7 o( |( [) c1 V
' ^% p% d2 v, z" ^, a0 w1 ~4 `$ L$ {& `涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
) ?% @( _2 {7 t8 h2 n
3 q1 e% c+ I& _$ g w6 ]山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
9 ?1 _0 A' J1 e. N8 t: y
4 [3 N& s# U7 u% C& i, D2 Y5 t8 Q4. AI赛道与新兴项目
v" b: {" Y# H w* }; t$ H. c9 }% v! U. g" N- ~& I4 ]7 {9 |
AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
" U7 ^* l" |+ i1 q. B* N* S3 C- f; f/ p6 J" q0 u
蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
* H5 P4 J8 E- q6 H' b4 D' a- O5 ^8 ^1 M# i
新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。( A; q3 ` K# Y
: |' V% X$ `. y0 O7 t5 e! c市场展望. J+ b5 k. w& j+ B8 V
5 T" a. e; V, F# ~( i* G( _( e随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。* d0 h( O6 r# ~- H c1 {
- g" S* |+ }$ l% X3 [* W |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13263 小时
本月在线: 51 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19149 小时
本月在线: 70 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 6051 小时
本月在线: 13 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10206 小时
本月在线: 32 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8967 小时
本月在线: 19 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2844 小时
本月在线: 22 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|