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[lastpost] => 2774982 170亿美元比特币的幻觉——散户如何为企业“创新”买单（转） 1761388580 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
5 J b. \9 h! X. S9 _9 q大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
6 F' Z& S& D% X" L0 a. Q尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。# `: v7 [8 O) [/ }" D
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？- n7 c! b* i, v1 }
6 m, y! w( f( t0 H随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
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牛un云蒙上阴影. n. {, m5 V: ^& \2 b5 p7 {
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。8 D! ]4 V' f& x% M
9 W+ s' |& T7 e即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。4 X. `8 Q) ?, l" n
( s& t1 P* G( [+ f! }" x这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。* { o! a' d# v. C
8 X' e3 P. n+ {5 f5 i3 M4 {* x3 Y
尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
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BTC背后的机构引擎, [' v1 _& B% s3 H8 H
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。2 `4 f' I; I+ f% `8 B0 r1 z4 Z
& G0 l/ U" h1 O9 J( z% `8 d; a这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。( T5 N/ G/ k- J
4 W/ I# J! U, s. u( \机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
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$ K- O2 F: @# D( R2 H3 [& ?怎么了？- J/ T" _4 P+ J- B, S3 O; S b
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。% b& y. N. }1 `% g/ {5 R) d7 e# ~
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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1 U4 O7 m2 l& j- b. A2 U/ m风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
3 r& C% n- p T$ l
5 @) ]% X2 Z) m8 s尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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