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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
5 ^0 t% J9 R& M% n7 E大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
' _! y$ l `3 S4 J1 _$ v" N尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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! }9 Y5 m! S" ~% W! _市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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8 ~- [) ~+ _+ z; j" H( Y) v随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
5 q! Q6 J" y! ~6 z& F; A: J
- c9 b3 _& }( ~9 d+ g7 }$ b; x' x牛un云蒙上阴影
5 @6 i3 n4 R. S& u! J- f最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。+ S# h, D3 z. u4 D
/ Y+ Q+ N! h2 ]& i' f即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。- \3 O" U5 X! a- [& J( F) I4 H
, ], \8 {0 S) x: X( Z6 G这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。9 i3 V& Q! `! A2 r
$ F' n& d- ~) L( p. e7 n
尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
* { Z3 v. M7 k4 V* y" z8 @" W& P( ^4 l) Z% o* ]( w
BTC背后的机构引擎: K3 L$ O# o( F0 ?
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
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v5 A0 H4 x+ Y% V. W) ~3 ^这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
( x) F, L9 L+ |/ p2 ?$ [% o7 ~" J. u! _2 h. {( u8 N: H+ N, V
与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。+ t0 W% Q( w5 \: b* h- l7 ^ E; U4 l0 m& r
, [0 U5 r, I& c1 C& Q% H; b! f
机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
" f, @" K6 d! _: O4 r& Z4 d
( O/ i. f i! V/ U3 s怎么了？
* t. f6 |* p' K9 k9 I& [尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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6 C: g3 x. q8 j2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
; u# n0 R6 p, @/ I1 G) n& S% l$ ?; q# s" o+ M. d: v
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。$ @( \$ }8 |* b/ a! ~. @$ I
$ q7 J" ]# Q, {& Y0 m, R1 w+ N0 ]
尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。/ G! n& v5 Y8 \5 k
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