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[lastpost] => 2777701 受到美国降息影响，BTC ETH跌幅还是比较大的 1761870781 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。$ U% N t: X w4 @9 X
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。" P ~) |# r9 _/ y4 i: ?
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。/ ~& @. m+ {# p+ G8 {/ f
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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3 r4 X9 J/ f0 R4 A7 ~7 n随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。; J; S" G' J( D* k; H# d2 V
* X. C5 B9 ]! V& B2 l牛un云蒙上阴影1 P' e% `$ P2 K7 p
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。/ f% s' [4 r c0 P2 ~1 b
2 e) u4 H5 u$ Y% C5 k即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
/ l( J: Y3 ?% d: D9 ~& F' \( b- W
! n: j" _2 S$ Q, ~( r" R, z! H这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。! o/ G+ M# L3 G3 K4 w5 } ^4 j$ F
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尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。8 e. n$ l$ a1 U' t# x
; j; o" p- v* g' SBTC背后的机构引擎- K* _2 ]7 G" l! Y7 ^7 q' k; ~( T
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。6 a- X: d; q1 Q5 l# m- O
4 X( Q; M2 p7 w) |: i0 d) u* O这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。" Y+ C: G- X- `3 p" ~/ \4 g4 O
& V9 t+ P9 \. w与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。0 [! o/ C% e: L7 p- _* U. n
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机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
: C1 V) ~/ _) ?, U, D+ a: K8 ^1 u" k! I) n/ \
怎么了？
0 s2 E) ^ W# R9 I尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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4 u3 R8 H M) Y/ y2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。6 P; C; R# H0 S0 N1 P; i
l5 b4 ^9 X; I* k' F% J! Q尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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