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小分3种情况:2 [3 Q9 W0 k. k% J
! }3 P% n5 l; \7 o' t" x1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。( R6 G. d' ?4 q5 {
2 r. y" z: T" l) f L* X9 x8 b( E7 X
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
, w" G( N0 a8 L& E* x( G. m
8 L' C/ M* L2 C. [ e3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。3 L9 V. F/ z% v2 _6 A; u
/ _6 i3 Y7 _5 G8 x) k2张牌8或9点的情况有:
9 J; f, m, I; Y# Y# z2 E
3 Q- {7 c# x( f4 K; R6 g1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+103 q+ Y% i) M$ z) f
8 t) z' B' b1 R1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
4 Q' f3 S. p3 L) j* @1 l# \* |# @% c M6 u, a
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
8 {8 G/ A1 `* o1 `7 I4 K% h' }; z1 k9 n4 W& n% L
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
0 ? G6 `8 u V. f5 s
9 b4 f# D; E- q0 i$ b+ v由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。# O: U0 V3 _3 F! ?) k
0 y0 t9 I! D0 y+ d& }4 V
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
- s$ W; @& E8 z1 F; w4 C" N1 y3 m+ S8 S, [0 k8 \% h
那么我们可以得出( n$ L* {$ q6 l/ Y: h+ y M
9 f0 }& P% A6 `9 \5 ^' C1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662; a) u8 L, `$ J, F3 A
/ W& a/ L$ H4 w ?4 }3 a+ T
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 " m" n: m! j8 t% ^9 s2 ?6 F
, X6 O7 d6 m5 b% I2 W
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
" \$ d* G1 \- s- t! e* K$ S8 R7 W" D/ y! h9 L
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.3788693239 ]. P. ~: z1 `! t
M6 A1 x8 M* F+ K8 U$ Q0 q百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
$ m8 K- b) K9 _% y- g |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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