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[lastpost] => 2650227 德州扑克技巧之一:基本攻守策略(转载) 1716273836 yubuluowang
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以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题
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" I3 J- P5 K! W/ k0 _4 Z* U因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始..
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假设直线A上有N个点,取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E,2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N4 i0 @8 a- E+ D B, B- m
* g, \. b$ L' h, E" b$ X, c那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%
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- O! X/ I* Q6 B, H3 b8 A豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%
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连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方(大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下)
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在是压大小问题.
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7 a9 a6 W0 B$ d/ E( g根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..
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由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的
; ^# [; p F2 I: ~9 O) l# w, r
. x- I1 {' _* i5 g4 Q7 H' J心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。
# [. X9 e% {) ]! a# J3 `7 ]) {( y. D }3 \9 w8 A
也就是说,压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。
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' s4 D6 W7 W8 U" Z- d并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了( {; @1 t. Q5 S* F0 @5 S; q) s! O% `
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由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。( u+ A0 H( W7 P+ F
0 \: i( O8 X! q2 ~根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家!远离DB!
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7 q7 y; \. Z$ [* F' z# O! m还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百5 G7 r# B/ i* F3 j* o# {
, \5 |( W* B2 }% Z. |今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了7 x$ M5 S- N) x/ F2 w
( u- g$ i7 v# s" X3 ]0 ~# y: v& v
偶决定在也不赌了~真的...4 }, K% e( p3 B
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 1 小时
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投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 45 分钟
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当前离线
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总在线: 45 分钟
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必输的东西也是要来学学了啊,如此的东西还是值得学习的 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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必输什么的是不讲道理的,就好比必赢的菠菜那样,干脆看开点 |
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当前离线
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这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧 |
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