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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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/ y/ e D* g& a其实原文标题不是这样的* W m6 q1 r+ |/ _( p
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...' `1 S6 ?( i& S8 I; y8 X: k
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
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9 Q4 }* ~0 O+ R5 G4 m0 g8 [ 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。3 ~( M" ?; B5 F6 n( J9 N# E1 A6 E
8 b1 i5 M% C6 m6 @6 _
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」$ l! ^( M( A) m8 z
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 7 A2 e5 f1 u' \4 O
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」0 ?8 c/ M1 X4 q$ r. D
, K0 p& o" }8 |' }7 ` 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。- E) w) z: V& W$ `+ W( e0 t5 W
) Q( K! P$ V, Z$ \接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，8 X3 K _! U- \. R1 z& } o
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
/ S/ P+ m9 K- P z; C长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 / a3 X- I2 d. n) [$ V. }' Z0 |: S
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。! }9 }) @% Q- S3 C+ ~3 ]
心想赢定了。
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4 h; ]; w, W& o- E( t3 u没想到开始不到半刻钟，
' ^! q1 `! J5 w& R) D- ]+ E$ \5 L赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」. e6 f3 p# g. a8 k7 C7 k% k q
* l. W) X0 P4 K" x赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
( h% T% T9 T% b5 a! H5 G g但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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: \* f, c. K9 x9 r; f8 L赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
5 j% Y& D( d# K3 @% P% T他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
: T' K9 m4 G( w* S「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
/ E+ r& c0 @. b: c- ^9 e, `1 I' u「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」; t7 F/ M3 Z# f$ x3 U1 b- W% W0 r
「而不是先发生在我身上。」6 u7 ~$ p! g3 ^- z: E% Z
1 r; V4 e+ R% y. j9 V* |" O 赌徒恍然大悟，9 ^% P0 z5 K# P; R# K
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
6 Z; B5 ?- {- K- V H1 p+ A9 Q竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
/ }8 \6 m; o0 H' T: ~「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
' X+ \9 [" }" M( T上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
$ Z9 I9 a# o! u) f若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
4 t6 a/ n; h9 } b7 w( \# i1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
3 O9 ^ B, y( b3 h- P7 i对赌徒十分有利。- l. ~# }0 l( J& v* m9 W7 u4 b
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
) J" B( {2 O& ~) ]在还没掷到1000次之前，
3 X; a P+ D' `7 d( T! ?; W& z, J4 t仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。. T7 t! w# G. q
Z4 c5 N& K8 I: Y6 Z1 E 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，: Z% r& ^. V0 v, Z8 j8 @
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ / _, F3 n' t" l" @7 Y
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