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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 5 P: M6 j& N- B1 h9 ^* U
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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4 U" Y$ g1 Z% Y这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!% u: x" O5 n1 l' [7 T) I
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1 V8 _' i6 i' q6 c$ R, {
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
( w+ E. o3 E K$ U* q6 F他希望能和上帝来场赌局。( L% u- b) P( i U3 A! {
: [, P# S, Y% g 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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. A$ ^* n0 Y7 R) G- f& a 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
) o) ^* F" `& _; R |8 j ' p2 x) |- l+ @) }4 O. v
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
/ V! a- M( K1 x. Q1 s$ O& k3 O- R「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
. ?" Z; K1 C/ @) h8 B- D因此铜板较容易出现正面。7 Z* J) V4 i+ g
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 & u6 u2 A" r8 j
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。& M, c) @( q# h2 p* ~8 m6 q
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
@- b, Z& O2 ~. _4 U赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」1 \- Z' F. z `2 G* R
" t0 K" J+ p L5 e {8 Q, \赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，2 J1 Z. k y4 T+ l. B
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。* U% f1 ~* G6 f; [! m& h
+ Z( P2 ^$ O! Q/ |; P+ N% F赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?' [) B$ I7 Q# y
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：' z! l) \9 S8 Q% G5 N
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」7 @0 t, {, V1 _$ U
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」, d# w2 P* G. Y$ w" a, l* u
「而不是先发生在我身上。」) f. r Q. @2 K1 v# T
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赌徒恍然大悟，/ e# h, q7 B( X8 \4 b0 k9 d
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，; T: h1 |7 T* {, a3 i2 H9 x
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
: v. P. K5 l+ }) d「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
1 N1 p$ M* s! i' I7 V" k- {7 ]上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，, Q9 q, @% _8 L5 Y' I- z
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
( K% w4 K( ]! k. `$ |1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，) q0 i3 B4 w( O( a
对赌徒十分有利。* t( L& @4 d" u. h( K
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
: \8 O5 r1 r2 `/ w0 f* B在还没掷到1000次之前，
# ?7 |! E1 F; _ P% d7 J& Z6 g- r! u仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。5 s2 Y: l* G. {2 J
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。5 H" e: u' {$ a- U# d
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，9 M) J' A$ S/ V2 H; @
3 h# }2 o8 K" v+ I" ^" } 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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