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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ! Q2 C: r1 U2 [, a
) ?& Y, \& J3 ~其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!0 R0 a ~ T$ F1 l$ n( \4 C4 y
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...+ P* L5 [& G/ }5 O' ~
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。; r H+ N/ A( t# k6 N& {+ {
! y" _; @ Z1 B% V+ x; p* X. \ 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。) \9 ^, r' b/ h" Z
7 ?: Z) J" C" I+ T0 D3 l 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
6 d# ^7 m* s, C2 E( V2 |- s
1 {3 N4 C/ K; @# f. \「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 , a% B' x- u: O" Q4 x
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」6 Q% x% d l& S" s6 x$ |) c
# {" S" [' l& X+ y& q% Q" ` 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。$ Q! w$ |+ w _0 _" ~0 U
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
" |. C, `6 l1 G7 I( f因此铜板较容易出现正面。! d, U3 o# T$ O0 x
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
9 Q( ]% U, i3 M) F. R因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
$ A& [, K4 i- P+ v8 [5 c心想赢定了。
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# _& R8 m) Z j* P没想到开始不到半刻钟，6 C7 e, x8 w) c7 D6 M; D6 Q
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」% h& V9 d+ `. k5 n G" v+ Z6 g) X* b
" X; I( c/ {) |赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，- v a }- }, C! I$ N
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
$ b- |' `: k! @% H( y# _$ a* E% M0 h) \ 1 f+ y; Y# z7 Q: k9 g/ G8 g9 D, c* r
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?1 u# a* G8 o" f( H; [
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：2 j- M7 X, p# W% T" o4 T
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
$ n4 C6 _9 T: r; r* J7 H「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」, V' F5 |# J( j
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
) N o3 \, K1 d" E. q
9 l# A( M2 o! X8 N$ S 赌徒恍然大悟，
7 J+ b7 i4 o, M c) m原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，7 }- d" {$ z, B7 k5 B
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！$ \% {' Z5 I% r: u
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
i4 F( W+ e$ D# B上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
$ I. M3 V3 r$ ?+ p7 Q) g7 ?若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，9 a* O! Q% U/ _8 U
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币， Z' L) y0 v9 b j
对赌徒十分有利。* R3 P: ?, \) |4 }" k/ H. x
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，0 V7 ^) O/ O5 ~- J$ N6 W& V; j
在还没掷到1000次之前，
+ u4 [: E/ V8 @0 W仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。4 T" v1 M: d& Q& n3 z' D
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
/ S: r* k, L3 P2 B l* `: d# D- v0 f" K/ C6 }7 [
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ " E5 K% v' G1 v) O- _
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