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[lastpost] => 2777111 【吉祥坊】10月28日投注流水1000元 1761657636 22301
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小分3种情况:- }+ ]5 m/ G/ _( \% A
' l" y0 d, ~ {1 p
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。7 W' t6 F2 O7 O: o' @
, f5 x# w: V4 m
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
" {% O* V8 j8 @* Q+ G7 X, z& {( V8 ]
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。* ^( B. R) g) { [( ^! d
) n4 F$ B7 `/ L* @. f
2张牌8或9点的情况有:
. w5 [2 z( [! \/ D' {
$ }4 [" O! r- p# O- ?, r1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
" Z; ]2 A5 F* q4 E {8 M) c! a9 Y3 B( N; s1 T) D
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
/ O. ^; P- i' X/ `% Q
" }; S. L3 Y# f! t2 e6 v4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415 Z7 \- E% X& F b( a. F! Q
7 w8 l: o: {* Q* N' I
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
# `, t7 ]7 H7 N# `3 k3 N6 Q: u+ T, A3 I; l& Q! n) P- C
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
2 C8 i! e' E* Z. v' M& ]' Q0 ~& \! I, T$ I& q4 q
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
: q& v6 l" k7 T% c" \
4 w; m/ \: E6 u( T: z @; C那么我们可以得出
6 {2 I9 j3 q9 b* I( @7 a) e2 ^( x7 `% b) [
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
) H+ p& w' e# {, s2 Q
1 Y2 f- A% j, _! |. L& x: `& K7 v2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 , ~5 c$ i' R% O6 o
4 a( Z5 m, g3 ~" p f Z+ g
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491+ D7 \6 k* i' `/ k2 v3 K
9 Q8 ?: z# ]( n+ O: ?) V$ D+ T7 N所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323% q! g7 Q) n! x9 h% e' [* n
- u$ m: @" V: |1 c' R# c* _) j百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677" Y6 x" [* f& n6 g$ ~' F
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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