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[lastpost] => 2757646 山寨币清算量超过比特币：山寨币季节终于到来了吗？（转） 1755458146 中大奖
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ； l' G: W! T! b
* m4 B6 Q) y, G. g* _据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元
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“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”6 ~8 D! s+ M$ B. X
( m* b$ D7 i6 U1 J- C就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；
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1 ]- G1 P3 k1 W需求上升与风险
# F% W. m$ {$ \; R0 p' ]# i% G投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。 s$ k. `$ V& W8 f* b% l" R
/ P, c1 t3 h% J& K3 u从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；
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事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。; K# Y0 H' g6 M1 y& D
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在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；
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) p( _. c& B$ R8 {- Z9 Q6 k9 L. ~5 D因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；1 z9 }7 p, G- l
5 i D C( Z8 J' h; t" L但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；
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对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。/ v2 g0 Y' i' G# o" }
( o; E- m0 W' y: h; Q' I根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。- h7 T6 {0 X1 b4 A! E, s" l
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简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；8 [7 |' q Y& I+ N
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与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）
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