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[lastpost] => 2804458 比特币和主流加密货币为何下跌：Bitwise（转） 1770450645 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份" I" Y8 K# d3 c! |: ?, q
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。: n* o% {3 C" }( k
美元抛售推高比特币1 L! o1 l; J* L [1 c- w
~6 }6 b9 L5 A- o: `Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以6 |5 c4 q9 x$ J
; C. z( x/ r3 \: O- w0 L0 F来的最低水平。- t: Z- J# L" u3 Z: D6 U$ R/ K
# ]# b( i! ` ]“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
( X- S% ?1 w* W( D3 I& n( y2 Q+ o7 b0 F' r; J
数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。- ^: @, Z' i% K7 M. L
0 J9 k% o+ i' C" V" G; {4 c3 IAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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5 [8 ^; l# O& u0 Z+ N7 q v高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。7 C( p' T/ `0 e+ K X
) x' Y% F1 Q9 n! C这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。6 n r* O: M1 U1 U# C3 M: n
# r8 D5 P; {- C4 G, ?/ @( J这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破( O/ |8 V9 K6 |$ I: s
4 n# Z/ g: A8 {, ^" x- R了8.7万美元。
1 e* i+ O* f( e% }/ y7 f
8 Q' g6 }- O) _6 @+ e然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
& `' Z% N+ f0 ?% u8 [
. O% s6 r: h+ | I& |“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
! F# G/ s9 G8 K- k0 { p5 D, u
/ {8 U; |5 K4 \$ Z$ S“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”) \7 l" Q& j3 A: O: }6 u
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交! _; x0 y, T2 A# c, j/ G
% U; h6 M$ v8 d5 D( u: F0 l易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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