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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的& J: U$ k& E: }5 @
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!1 U: L0 `# D" T7 d% A. C3 Z- L
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& e1 h: e# d o( X( c5 X
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...! X+ j( p7 r; f' |4 b$ b. W
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。, ~/ e/ {: R: _
9 v6 f4 r& b2 A: \+ Q9 f5 I
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。2 T1 P4 \; [) V9 m& C& b
G7 N6 J( K) P' e$ s6 E7 i3 f 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
! w8 s4 \, k! u1 U" l- |
) N, }3 K" z$ P+ U7 [「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 3 U# c- t0 q+ l8 F4 I4 R
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
$ {# _# \6 f) n5 g0 m# O8 r( T1 J3 r; h2 O# j
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。' O! L! c6 T& [( y
6 R+ z/ z' P6 z. k% x: T1 ?# ?接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，$ g, U4 S) R. {1 l
因此铜板较容易出现正面。8 r% M: F2 C. `& r: i; H
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 1 b# d2 m' N% y
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。- }- C2 @/ {# z$ C. h; t( Z( {
心想赢定了。& ?/ c% [0 ?- y: n$ U
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，1 u# Q8 m( e' D" ~, X1 ^
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」/ ~* u: v' I8 q; x& S
/ s3 ~. M( D3 y+ X' ?赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
4 L' i9 [7 _' t8 P# B; @/ `但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
( `! q) _, }" b$ w: j 8 a! N. M7 F( M, I: H x) }
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
4 w/ V' D& @9 P: e0 O7 W0 Y) Q他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 4 u7 G& t9 h, r+ ?! s
上帝回答道：# v1 Y: y7 x% R' i# k4 h8 G, F9 R
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
9 X7 u C7 W7 t- D8 N「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」, P' O# S# l% x) q
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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* F2 n* j) T$ S4 c0 b 赌徒恍然大悟，! c% }% m( r7 M9 W& z' ~2 G3 Q
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
2 r* j1 {5 \8 j+ S0 o) B k$ Q/ ~竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！/ _0 n! N( `4 z# @' t" O, `" V
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
c# N/ V D$ h8 z( F1 x4 W上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
. R1 H7 l( b( i* w; x+ X. w若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
8 D$ U: H( I9 Z9 D% T' h' `' K1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
3 b' D- l$ i2 Q: l, @对赌徒十分有利。
: E& w: N0 u! |3 l0 o: U o$ B7 P$ v
( U6 g! c$ N6 w但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现， V* I- A* y- ?8 z( t3 c! n1 S
在还没掷到1000次之前，
$ m/ V: @6 A8 \9 N, J; S: s" V* j仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。6 _1 u2 o5 N8 i
: j- @& [$ e) [6 n9 b" }5 V, p 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。0 c9 K9 K" b( P5 f6 K4 i
/ x& p* ^. E9 L3 H) R 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
2 d: Q6 R9 E0 h* i/ o( \( m+ h: A, B: I- @
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
- {$ x0 t9 _8 z( ?7 D2 E
' @# _' P0 t& m$ W& E8 ^- u# d3 y 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ . J8 G9 \6 e, [
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